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Quantity Rationing of Credit and the Phillips Curve

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  • George A. Waters

    (Department of Economics, Illinois State University)

Abstract

Quantity rationing of credit, when some ?firms are denied loans, has macroeconomics effects not fully captured by measures of borrowing costs. This paper develops a monetary DSGE model with quantity rationing and derives a Phillips Curve relation where in?flation dynamics depend on cyclical unemployment, a risk premium and the fraction of fi?rms receiving ?financing. Unemployment arising from disruptions in credit ?flows is defi?ned to be cyclical. GMM estimates using data from a survey of bank managers con?firms the importance of these variables for in?flation dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • George A. Waters, 2011. "Quantity Rationing of Credit and the Phillips Curve," Working Paper Series 20111004, Illinois State University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ils:wpaper:20111004
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    2. Jakab, Zoltan & Kumhof, Michael, 2015. "Banks are not intermediaries of loanable funds – and why this matters," Bank of England working papers 529, Bank of England.
    3. Jakab, Zoltan & Kumhof, Michael, 2018. "Banks are not intermediaries of loanable funds — facts, theory and evidence," Bank of England working papers 761, Bank of England, revised 17 Jan 2020.
    4. Mohammad Naim Azimi, 2016. "Drawing on Phillips curve: does the inverse relation between inflation and unemployment persist in transitional economies," International Journal of Economics and Accounting, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(2), pages 89-100.
    5. Mahmoudzadeh, Amineh & Nili, Masoud & Nili, Farhad, 2018. "Real effects of working capital shocks: Theory and evidence from micro data," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 191-218.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Quantity Rationing; Phillips Curve; Cyclical Unemployment; GMM;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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