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Credit rationing, output gap, and business cycles

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  • Boissay, Frédéric

Abstract

The cost-of-financing channel version of the financial accelerator proposed by Bernanke & Gertler [1989] is prominent in the literature. Yet, this particular channel has not been validated by empirical work. This paper presents an alternative version of the accelerator. This new accelerator, based on quantity credit rationing, is shown to be more powerful than the traditional accelerator. By causing factor under-utilization credit rationing generates an output gap persistent and sensitive to technology shocks. This accelerator is not a substitute to the traditional mechanism though, but rather a complement. My model helps improve the understanding of financial transmission mechanisms. It considers several types of collaterals. Financial frictions generate persistence when collaterals take the form of tangible assets. They generate amplification when collaterals take the form of cash flows or when asset prices are variable. JEL Classification: E32, E44

Suggested Citation

  • Boissay, Frédéric, 2001. "Credit rationing, output gap, and business cycles," Working Paper Series 87, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:200187
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Waters, George A., 2013. "Quantity rationing of credit and the Phillips curve," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 68-80.
    2. Andrei G. Shulgin, 2018. "Monetary Regime Choice and Optimal Credit Rationing at the Official Rate: The Case of Russia," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 631-668, October.
    3. Sylvia Kaufmann & Maria Teresa Valderrama, 2010. "The Role Of Credit Aggregates And Asset Prices In The Transmission Mechanism: A Comparison Between The Euro Area And The Usa," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 78(4), pages 345-377, July.
    4. Roman Horváth, 2005. "Financial Accelerator Effects in the Balance Sheets of Czech Firms," Working Papers IES 96, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised 2005.
    5. repec:onb:oenbwp:y::i:90:b:1 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Jarko Fidrmuc & Roman Horváth & Eva Horváthová, 2010. "Corporate Interest Rates and the Financial Accelerator in the Czech Republic," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(4), pages 41-54, January.
    7. Maria Teresa VALDERRAMA & Sylvia KAUFMANN, 2010. "Modeling Credit Aggregates," EcoMod2004 330600146, EcoMod.
    8. George A. Waters, 2011. "Quantity Rationing of Credit," Working Paper Series 20111005, Illinois State University, Department of Economics.
    9. George A. Waters, 2011. "Quantity Rationing of Credit," Working Paper Series 20111005, Illinois State University, Department of Economics.
    10. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2012_003 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Laivi Laidroo, 2014. "Lending Growth and Cyclicality in Central and Eastern European Banks," TUT Economic Research Series 13, Department of Finance and Economics, Tallinn University of Technology.
    12. Singh, Bhupal & Nadkarni, Avadhoot R., 2020. "Role of credit and monetary policy in determining asset prices: Evidence from emerging market economies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    13. Mahmoudzadeh, Amineh & Nili, Masoud & Nili, Farhad, 2018. "Real effects of working capital shocks: Theory and evidence from micro data," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 191-218.
    14. Sylvia Kaufmann & Maria Teresa Valderrama, 2008. "Bank lending in Germany and the UK: are there differences between a bank-based and a market-based country?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(3), pages 266-279.
    15. Sylvia Kaufmann & Maria Teresa Valderrama, 2004. "Modeling Credit Aggregates," Working Papers 90, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    business fluctuations; credit rationing; financial accelerator;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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