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Quantity rationing of credit

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  • Waters, George A.

Abstract

Quantity rationing of credit, when firms are denied loans, has greater potential to explain macroeconomics fluctuations than borrowing costs. This paper develops a DSGE model with both types of financial frictions. A deterioration in credit market confidence leads to a temporary change in the interest rate, but a persistent change in the fraction of firms receiving financing, which leads to a persistent fall in real activity. Empirical evidence confirms that credit market confidence, measured by the survey of loan officers, is a significant leading indicator for capacity utilization and output, while borrowing costs, measured by interest rate spreads, is not.

Suggested Citation

  • Waters, George A., 2012. "Quantity rationing of credit," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 3/2012, Bank of Finland.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bofrdp:rdp2012_003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    quantity rationing; credit; VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E10 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - General
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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