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Russian Growth Path and TFP Changes in Light of the Estimation of Production Function using Quarterly Data

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  • Kuboniwa, Masaaki
  • 久保庭, 眞彰
  • クボニワ, マサアキ

Abstract

We present estimations of a Cobb-Douglas production function with a steady change in TFP (total factor productivity) for the Russian economy, using quarterly data for the favorable period 1998Q3–2008Q2 and the period 1995Q1–2010Q2 as well. Compiling our baseline data on capital and labor adjusted for utilization, we explicitly present estimations of the coefficients (the capital distribution ratio and TFP) of production function, which show that TFP is the major growth source, followed by the capital contribution. We also show results of measurement of Russia‟s GDP gaps as the differences between potential and actual GDPs based on the production function and the Hodrick-Prescott filter.

Suggested Citation

  • Kuboniwa, Masaaki & 久保庭, 眞彰 & クボニワ, マサアキ, 2011. "Russian Growth Path and TFP Changes in Light of the Estimation of Production Function using Quarterly Data," RRC Working Paper Series 30, Russian Research Center, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    • Handle: RePEc:hit:rrcwps:30
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    File URL: https://hermes-ir.lib.hit-u.ac.jp/hermes/ir/re/18940/RRC_WP_No30.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. International Monetary Fund, 2000. "The Great Contractions in Russia, the Baltics and the Other Countries of the Former Soviet Union: A View From the Supply Side," IMF Working Papers 2000/032, International Monetary Fund.
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    Cited by:

    1. Skorobogatov, Alexander S., 2018. "Why do newer cities promise higher wages in Russia?," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 16-34.
    2. Randolph Luca Bruno & Laura Magazzini & Marco Stampini, 2018. "The Joint Estimate of Singleton and Longitudinal Observations: a GMM Approach for Improved Efficiency," Working Papers 04/2018, University of Verona, Department of Economics.
    3. Ilya B. Voskoboynikov, 2021. "Accounting for growth in the USSR and Russia, 1950–2012," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 870-894, July.
    4. Voskoboynikov, Ilya & Solanko, Laura, 2014. "When high growth is not enough: Rethinking Russia's pre-crisis economic performance," BOFIT Policy Briefs 6/2014, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    5. Ville Kaitila, 2016. "GDP growth in Russia: different capital stock series and the terms of trade," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 129-145, April.
    6. Alexander S. Skorobogatov, 2016. "Spatial Equilibrium Approach to the Analysis of Income Differentials Across Russian Cities," HSE Working papers WP BRP 149/EC/2016, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    7. Marcel P. Timmer & Ilya B. Voskoboynikov, 2014. "Is Mining Fuelling Long-Run Growth in Russia? Industry Productivity Growth Trends Since 1995," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 60(S2), pages 398-422, November.
    8. Kuboniwa, Masaaki, 2014. "A comparative analysis of the impact of oil prices on oil-rich emerging economies in the Pacific Rim," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 328-339.
    9. Gregory Brock, 2016. "Creative destruction on the Chechen frontier?," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 220-231, April.
    10. Kuboniwa, Masaaki, 2014. "The Impact of Oil Prices, Total Factor Productivity and Institutional Weakness on Russia’s Declining Growth," RRC Working Paper Series 49, Russian Research Center, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    11. Brock, Gregory, 2019. "A remote sensing look at the economy of a Russian region (Rostov) adjacent to the Ukrainian crisis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 416-431.
    12. Helena Schweiger & Alexander Stepanov & Paolo Zacchia, 2022. "The Long-Run Effects of R&D Place-Based Policies: Evidence from Russian Science Cities," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 14(3), pages 322-351, August.
    13. Brock, Gregory, 2015. "The informal economy of Rostov Oblast on the eve of the Ukrainian refugee crisis," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 789-803.
    14. repec:dgr:rugggd:gd-137 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Korhonen, Iikka, 2021. "Russia's growth potential post-COVID-19," BOFIT Policy Briefs 9/2021, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    16. E. A. Orlova & D. R. Belousov & D. I. Galimov, 2020. "A Model of Potential GDP and Output Gap for the Russian Economy," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 171-180, March.
    17. Korhonen, Iikka, 2015. "How fast can Russia grow?," BOFIT Policy Briefs 10/2015, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    18. World Bank & National Research University – Higher School of Economics, 2013. "Developing Skills for Innovative Growth in the Russian Federation," World Bank Publications - Reports 16100, The World Bank Group.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Growth; TFP; Cobb-Douglas; Russia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • P24 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - National Income, Product, and Expenditure; Money; Inflation

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