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Decomposing the Riskiness of Corporate Foreign Currency Lending: the Case of Hungary

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  • Dzsamila Vonnak

    (Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies, Hungarian Academy of Sciences and Central European University)

Abstract

I decompose the factors contributing to the riskiness of foreign currency borrowers. I compare counterfactual default probabilities of local and foreign currency borrowers estimated on disaggregated data. My results suggest that the currency mismatch with the depreciation of the local currency is the most important factor contributing to the riskiness of foreign currency borrowers, though boom-period excessive risk taking of banks is also concentrated in foreign currency lending.

Suggested Citation

  • Dzsamila Vonnak, 2015. "Decomposing the Riskiness of Corporate Foreign Currency Lending: the Case of Hungary," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 1528, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    • Handle: RePEc:has:discpr:1528
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    Cited by:

    1. Kátay, Gábor & Péter, Harasztosi, 2017. "Currency Matching and Carry Trade by Non-Financial Corporations," Working Papers 2017-02, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    2. Schepp, Zoltán & Szabó, Zoltán, 2015. "Lakossági svájcifrank-hitelek árazása - narratíván innen és túl? [Pricing Swiss franc-denominated mortgage loans: beyond the narratives]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(11), pages 1140-1157.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    foreign currency debt; banking;

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems

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