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An analysis of duration dependence of government revenue expansions and contractions in Developing Countries

Listed author(s):
  • Sèna Kimm Gnangnon

    (CERDI - Centre d'études et de recherches sur le developpement international - CNRS - Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I)

Registered author(s):

    In this paper, we employ the discrete-time duration model to examine whether expansion and contraction phases of government revenue exhibit duration dependence. We hence use an unbalanced panel data of public revenue on 68 developing countries over the period 1980-2009. The analysis also covers the sub-samples of sub-Saharan African and Non sub-Saharan African countries. Our findings suggest that once controlling for frailty and economic variables, the likelihood of public revenue expansion and contraction ending appears to be positively affected by their actual age: government revenue expansion and contraction exhibit in developing countries positive duration dependence.

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    Paper provided by HAL in its series Working Papers with number halshs-00722083.

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    Date of creation: 31 Jul 2012
    Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00722083
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00722083
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    1. Jonathan Ohn & Larry W. Taylor & Adrian Pagan, 2004. "Testing for duration dependence in economic cycles," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 7(2), pages 528-549, December.
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