Public Pension Reforms and Fiscal Foresight: Narrative Evidence and Aggregate Implications
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.18651/RWP2020-06
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Valerie A. Ramey, 2011.
"Identifying Government Spending Shocks: It's all in the Timing,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 126(1), pages 1-50.
- Valerie A. Ramey, 2009. "Identifying Government Spending Shocks: It's All in the Timing," NBER Working Papers 15464, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Òscar Jordà, 2005. "Estimation and Inference of Impulse Responses by Local Projections," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 161-182, March.
- Alesina, Alberto & Favero, Carlo & Giavazzi, Francesco, 2015.
"The output effect of fiscal consolidation plans,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(S1), pages 19-42.
- Alberto Alesina & Carlo Favero & Francesco Giavazzi, 2014. "The Output Effect of Fiscal Consolidation Plans," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2014, pages 19-42, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alesina, Alberto & Favero, Carlo & Giavazzi, Francesco, 2014. "The output effect of fiscal consolidation plans," SAFE Working Paper Series 76, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Burnside, Craig & Eichenbaum, Martin & Fisher, Jonas D. M., 2004.
"Fiscal shocks and their consequences,"
Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 89-117, March.
- Craig Burnside & Martin Eichenbaum & Jonas Fisher, 2003. "Fiscal Shocks and Their Consequences," NBER Working Papers 9772, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Karel Mertens & Morten Overgaard Ravn, 2011.
"Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated Tax Policy Shocks,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(1), pages 27-54, January.
- Morten O. Ravn & Karel Mertens, 2009. "Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated Tax Policy shocks," 2009 Meeting Papers 480, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Mertens, Karel & Ravn, Morten O, 2009. "Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated Tax Policy Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 7505, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Karel Mertens & Morten Overgaard Ravn, 2010. "Online Appendix to "Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated Tax Policy Shocks"," Online Appendices 09-221, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Karel Mertens & Morten Overgaard Ravn, 2010. "Code and data files for "Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated Tax Policy Shocks"," Computer Codes 09-221, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Jonathan Gruber & David A. Wise, 2004.
"Social Security Programs and Retirement around the World: Micro-Estimation,"
NBER Books,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number grub04-1, December.
- Jonathan Gruber & David A. Wise, 2002. "Social Security Programs and Retirement Around the World: Micro Estimation," NBER Working Papers 9407, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Orazio P. Attanasio & Susann Rohwedder, 2003. "Pension Wealth and Household Saving: Evidence from Pension Reforms in the United Kingdom," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(5), pages 1499-1521, December.
- Roel Beetsma & Jacopo Cimadomo & Oana Furtuna & Massimo Giuliodori1, 2015.
"The confidence effects of fiscal consolidations,"
Economic Policy, CEPR;CES;MSH, vol. 30(83), pages 439-489.
- Beetsma, Roel & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Furtuna, Oana & Giuliodori, Massimo, 2014. "The Confidence Effects of Fiscal Consolidations," CEPR Discussion Papers 10205, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giuliodori, Massimo & Beetsma, Roel & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Furtuna, Oana, 2015. "The confidence effects of fiscal consolidations," Working Paper Series 1770, European Central Bank.
- Jukka Lassila & Tarmo Valkonen, 2002. "Prefunding in a Defined Benefit Pension System: The Finnish Case," NBER Chapters, in: Social Security Pension Reform in Europe, pages 263-290, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Antonio David & Jaime Guajardo & Juan Yepez, 2019. "The Rewards of Fiscal Consolidation: Sovereign Spreads and Confidence Effects," IMF Working Papers 19/141, International Monetary Fund.
- John, Susan St. & Willmore, Larry, 2001. "Two Legs are Better than Three: New Zealand as a Model for Old Age Pensions," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 29(8), pages 1291-1305, August.
- Jaime Guajardo & Daniel Leigh & Andrea Pescatori, 2014. "Expansionary Austerity? International Evidence," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 12(4), pages 949-968, August.
- Feldstein, Martin S, 1974. "Social Security, Induced Retirement, and Aggregate Capital Accumulation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 82(5), pages 905-926, Sept./Oct.
- Maria I. Marika Santoro, 2006. "Early Announcement of a Public Pension Reform in Italy," Rivista di Politica Economica, SIPI Spa, vol. 96(5), pages 179-216, September.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Alesina, Alberto & Barbiero, Omar & Favero, Carlo A. & Giavazzi, Francesco & Paradisi, Matteo, 2017.
"The effects of Fiscal Consolidations: Theory and Evidence,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12016, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alberto Alesina & Omar Barbiero & Carlo Favero & Francesco Giavazzi & Matteo Paradisi, 2017. "The Effects of Fiscal Consolidations: Theory and Evidence," NBER Working Papers 23385, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Beetsma, Roel & Furtuna, Oana & Giuliodori, Massimo, 2017.
"Revenue- versus spending-based consolidation plans: the role of follow-up,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
12133, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Beetsma, Roel & Furtuna, Oana & Giuliodori, Massimo, 2018. "Revenue- versus spending-based consolidation plans: the role of follow-up," Working Paper Series 2178, European Central Bank.
- Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2019.
"What Do We Know About the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers,"
Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, vol. 52(1), pages 78-93, March.
- Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay C. Lim, 2018. "What Do We Know about the Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy? A Brief Survey of the Literature on Fiscal Multipliers," CESifo Working Paper Series 7366, CESifo.
- Efrem Castelnuovo & Guay Lim, 2018. "What do we know about the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy? A brief survey of the literature on fiscal multipliers," CAMA Working Papers 2018-59, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Sanz, Carlos & Gonzalo Muñoz, Jesus & Alloza, Mario, 2019.
"Dynamic Effects of Persistent Shocks,"
UC3M Working papers. Economics
29187, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
- Mario Alloza & Jesus Gonzalo & Carlos Sanz, 2020. "Dynamic Effects of Persistent Shocks," Papers 2006.14047, arXiv.org.
- Mario Alloza & Jesús Gonzalo & Carlos Sanz, 2019. "Dynamic effects of persistent shocks," Working Papers 1944, Banco de España;Working Papers Homepage.
- van der Wielen, Wouter, 2020.
"The macroeconomic effects of tax changes: Evidence using real-time data for the European Union,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 302-321.
- van der Wielen, Wouter, 2019. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Reform: Evidence from the EU," JRC Working Papers on Taxation & Structural Reforms 2019-04, Joint Research Centre (Seville site).
- Karel Mertens & Morten O. Ravn, 2012.
"Empirical Evidence on the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated US Tax Policy Shocks,"
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 145-181, May.
- Karel Mertens & Morten O. Ravn, 2010. "Empirical Evidence on the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated US Tax Policy Shocks," NBER Chapters, in: Trans-Atlantic Public Economics Seminar (TAPES), Fiscal Policy, pages 145-181, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mertens, Karel & Ravn, Morten O, 2009. "Empirical Evidence on the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated U.S. Tax Policy Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 7370, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Karel Mertens & Morten O. Ravn, 2009. "Empirical evidence on the aggregate effects of anticipated and unanticipated US tax policy shocks," Working Paper Research 181, National Bank of Belgium.
- Karel Mertens & Morten Ravn, 2010. "Empirical Evidence on the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated U.S. Tax Policy Shocks," NBER Working Papers 16289, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2013.
"Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment,"
NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 27(1), pages 89-142.
- Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2012. "Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2012, Volume 27, pages 89-142, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2012. "Roads to prosperity or bridges to nowhere? theory and evidence on the impact of public infrastructure investment," Working Paper Series 2012-04, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2012. "Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment," NBER Working Papers 18042, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Daniel Wilson & Sylvain Leduc, 2012. "Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment," 2012 Meeting Papers 210, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo & Vukotic, Marija, 2019.
"Patent-Based News Shocks,"
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS)
1225, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- , 2020. "Patent-Based News Shocks," International Finance Discussion Papers 1277, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Banerjee, Ryan & Zampolli, Fabrizio, 2019.
"What drives the short-run costs of fiscal consolidation? Evidence from OECD countries,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 420-436.
- Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2016. "What drives the short-run costs of fiscal consolidation? Evidence from OECD countries," BIS Working Papers 553, Bank for International Settlements.
- Diniz, André, 2016. "Effects of fiscal consolidations in Latin America," Textos para discussão 423, FGV EESP - Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil).
- Alberto Alesina & Omar Barbiero & Carlo Favero & Francesco Giavazzi & Matteo Paradisi, 2015.
"Austerity in 2009-2013,"
NBER Working Papers
20827, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alesina, Alberto F & Barbiero, Omar & Favero, Carlo A. & Giavazzi, Francesco & Paradisi, Matteo, 2015. "Austerity in 2009-2013," CEPR Discussion Papers 10347, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Alesina, Alberto & Favero, Carlo & Giavazzi, Francesco, 2015.
"The output effect of fiscal consolidation plans,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(S1), pages 19-42.
- Alberto Alesina & Carlo Favero & Francesco Giavazzi, 2014. "The Output Effect of Fiscal Consolidation Plans," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2014, pages 19-42, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Alesina, Alberto & Favero, Carlo & Giavazzi, Francesco, 2014. "The output effect of fiscal consolidation plans," SAFE Working Paper Series 76, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Hommes, Cars & Lustenhouwer, Joep & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2018.
"Fiscal consolidations and heterogeneous expectations,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 173-205.
- Hommes, Cars H. & Lustenhouwer, Joep & Mavromatis, Kostas, 2017. "Fiscal consolidations and heterogeneous expectations," BERG Working Paper Series 132, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
- Eric M. Leeper & Todd B. Walker & Shu‐Chun Susan Yang, 2013.
"Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(3), pages 1115-1145, May.
- Eric Leeper & Todd Walker & Susan Yang SHu-Chun, 2009. "Fiscal Foresight And Information Flows," CAEPR Working Papers 2009-001, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
- Todd B. Walker & Eric M. Leeper & Susan S. Yang, 2012. "Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows," IMF Working Papers 2012/153, International Monetary Fund.
- Eric M. Leeper & Todd B. Walker & Shu-Chun Susan Yang, 2009. "Fiscal Foresight and Information Flows," NBER Working Papers 14630, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrea Boitani & Salvatore Perdichizzi, 2018. "Public Expenditure Multipliers in recessions. Evidence from the Eurozone," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def068, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
- Karel Mertens & Morten O. Ravn, 2013.
"The Dynamic Effects of Personal and Corporate Income Tax Changes in the United States,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 103(4), pages 1212-1247, June.
- Mertens, Karel & Ravn, Morten O, 2011. "The Dynamic Effects of Personal and Corporate Income Tax Changes in the United States," CEPR Discussion Papers 8554, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Morten Ravn & Karel Mertens, 2012. "The Dynamic Effects of Personal and Corporate Income Tax Changes in the United States," 2012 Meeting Papers 638, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Karel Mertens & Morten Overgaard Ravn, 2011.
"Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated Tax Policy Shocks,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 14(1), pages 27-54, January.
- Mertens, Karel & Ravn, Morten O, 2009. "Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated Tax Policy Shocks," CEPR Discussion Papers 7505, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Morten O. Ravn & Karel Mertens, 2009. "Understanding the Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated Tax Policy shocks," 2009 Meeting Papers 480, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Bottazzi, Renata & Jappelli, Tullio & Padula, Mario, 2006.
"Retirement expectations, pension reforms, and their impact on private wealth accumulation,"
Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(12), pages 2187-2212, December.
- Renata Bottazzi & Tullio Jappelli & Mario Padula, 2006. "Retirement Expectations, Pension Reforms, and Their Impact on Private Wealth Accumulation," CFS Working Paper Series 2006/10, Center for Financial Studies.
- Bottazzi, Renata & Jappelli, Tullio & Padula, Mario, 2006. "Retirement expectations, pension reforms, and their impact on private wealth accumulation," CFS Working Paper Series 2006/10, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Ackon, Kwabena Meneabe, 2018.
"Essays In Fiscal Policy And State Dependence Fiscal Policy Innovations Using A New Econometric Approach,"
MPRA Paper
100739, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Nkrumah, Kwabena Meneabe, 2018. "Essays In Fiscal Policy And State Dependence Fiscal Policy Innovations Using A New Econometric Approach," MPRA Paper 98689, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- repec:zbw:cfswop:wp200610 is not listed on IDEAS
- Sarah Zubairy, 2014.
"On Fiscal Multipliers: Estimates From A Medium Scale Dsge Model,"
International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 55, pages 169-195, February.
- Sarah Zubairy, 2010. "On Fiscal Multipliers: Estimates from a Medium Scale DSGE Model," Staff Working Papers 10-30, Bank of Canada.
More about this item
Keywords
Fiscal foresight; Pension reform; Narrative approach;JEL classification:
- E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
- H3 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents
- H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-AGE-2020-08-31 (Economics of Ageing)
- NEP-EEC-2020-08-31 (European Economics)
- NEP-MAC-2020-08-31 (Macroeconomics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedkrw:88577. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/frbkcus.html .
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.