Early Announcement of a Public Pension Reform in Italy
What is the macroeconomic impact of announcing a pension system reform in advance? The Italian reform in 1992 represents an illustrative case to address this question. Using an overlapping-generations model, we simulate the pre-announcement of five-year increase in the retirement eligibility age within 1992 Italian pension system. The simulation results show that the transition would be characterized by a drop in the employment rate of workers ages 55 and older explaining 77 percent of the actual drop. They also predict an 8 percent increase in pensions' expenditure and explain 83 percent of the actual increase. Finally, the welfare analysis highlights a loss for almost all the transitional generations.
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
Volume (Year): 96 (2006)
Issue (Month): 5 (September-October)
|Contact details of provider:|| |
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rpo:ripoec:v:96:y:2006:i:5:p:179-216. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Sabrina Marino)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.