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Growth and exchange rate volatility: a panel data analysis

  • Brito, Márcio Holland de
  • Vieira, Flávio Vilela
  • Silva, Cleomar Gomes da
  • Bottecchia, Luiz Carlos

The aim of this article is to assess the role of real effective exchange rate volatility on long-run economic growth for a set of 82 advanced and emerging economies using a panel data set ranging from 1970 to 2009. With an accurate measure for exchange rate volatility, the results for the two-step system GMM panel growth models show that a more (less) volatile RER has significant negative (positive) impact on economic growth and the results are robust for different model specifications. In addition to that, exchange rate stability seems to be more important to foster long-run economic growth than exchange rate misalignment

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Paper provided by Escola de Economia de São Paulo, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil) in its series Textos para discussão with number 296.

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Date of creation: 04 Aug 2011
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Handle: RePEc:fgv:eesptd:296
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