IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ehl/lserod/138502.html

Financial repression in the XXIst century

Author

Listed:
  • Reis, Ricardo

Abstract

Large stocks of public and external debt tempt policymakers to extract resources from their creditors. This article characterizes three broad forms of financial repression that serve this purpose. The first consists of direct taxation of the financial sector through levies on financial transactions, banks’ income, or pension-fund assets. The second is a sudden and sufficiently persistent devaluation of the currency. The third raises the demand for the non-monetary services provided by different types of government liabilities while keeping their supply scarce, thereby creating yield discounts. Reviewing historical experience, including recent years, the article concludes that each of the three often fails to deliver sustained revenues, even if they can sometimes be temporarily large. Financial repression is an alluring temptation with illusory gains: yielding to it may generate substantial efficiency losses and produce only limited revenue.

Suggested Citation

  • Reis, Ricardo, 2026. "Financial repression in the XXIst century," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 138502, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:138502
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/eprint/138502/
    File Function: Open access version.
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Arvind Krishnamurthy & Annette Vissing-Jorgensen, 2012. "The Aggregate Demand for Treasury Debt," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 120(2), pages 233-267.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & M. Belen Sbrancia1, 2015. "The liquidation of government debt," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 30(82), pages 291-333.
    3. Dao, Mai Chi & Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier, 2025. "Covered Interest Parity in Emerging Markets: Measurement and Drivers," CEPR Discussion Papers 20927, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    4. Saleem Bahaj & Ricardo Reis, 2022. "Central Bank Swap Lines: Evidence on the Effects of the Lender of Last Resort," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 89(4), pages 1654-1693.
    5. Smith, A. Lee & Valcarcel, Victor J., 2023. "The financial market effects of unwinding the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    6. Oleg Itskhoki & Dmitry Mukhin, 2021. "Exchange Rate Disconnect in General Equilibrium," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 129(8), pages 2183-2232.
    7. William Poole, 1968. "Commercial Bank Reserve Management In A Stochastic Model: Implications For Monetary Policy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 23(5), pages 769-791, December.
    8. Jens Hilscher & Alon Raviv & Ricardo Reis, 2022. "Inflating Away the Public Debt? An Empirical Assessment," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 35(3), pages 1553-1595.
    9. Bahaj, Saleem & Fuchs, Marie & Reis, Ricardo, 2026. "The global network of liquidity lines," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    10. Benati, Luca & Lucas, Robert E. & Nicolini, Juan Pablo & Weber, Warren, 2021. "International evidence on long-run money demand," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 43-63.
    11. Ricardo Reis, 2022. "Debt Revenue and the Sustainability of Public Debt," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(4), pages 103-124, Fall.
    12. Chamon, Marcos & Garcia, Márcio, 2016. "Capital controls in Brazil: Effective?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 163-187.
    13. Ball, Laurence, 2001. "Another look at long-run money demand," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 31-44, February.
    14. Carmen M. Reinhart & Franziska L. Ohnsorge & Kenneth S. Rogoff & M. Ayhan Kose, 2022. "The Aftermath of Debt Surges," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 637-663, August.
    15. Reinhart, Carmen M. & Reinhart, Vincent & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2015. "Dealing with debt," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(S1), pages 43-55.
    16. Robin Greenwood & Annette Vissing-Jorgensen, 2018. "The Impact of Pensions and Insurance on Global Yield Curves," Harvard Business School Working Papers 18-109, Harvard Business School, revised Dec 2018.
    17. Ralph S. J. Koijen & Motohiro Yogo, 2019. "A Demand System Approach to Asset Pricing," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 127(4), pages 1475-1515.
    18. V. V. Chari & Alessandro Dovis & Patrick J. Kehoe, 2020. "On the Optimality of Financial Repression," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(2), pages 710-739.
    19. Pierre Olivier Gourinchas, 2023. "International Macroeconomics: From the Great Financial Crisis to COVID-19, and Beyond," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(1), pages 1-34, March.
    20. Viral V. Acharya & Toomas Laarits, 2023. "When do Treasuries Earn the Convenience Yield? — A Hedging Perspective," NBER Working Papers 31863, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Olivier Jeanne, 2026. "From Fiscal Deadlock to Financial Repression: Anatomy of a Fall," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 74(1), pages 36-60, March.
    22. Giovannini, Alberto & de Melo, Martha, 1993. "Government Revenue from Financial Repression," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(4), pages 953-963, September.
    23. Mai Dao & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, 2025. "Covered Interest Parity in Emerging Markets: Measurement and Drivers," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2025, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    24. Pflueger, Carolin, 2025. "Back to the 1980s or not? The drivers of inflation and real risks in Treasury bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    25. Jiang, Zhengyang & Krishnamurthy, Arvind & Lustig, Hanno & Richmond, Robert & Xu, Chenzi, 2025. "Dollar Upheaval: This Time Is Different," Research Papers 4241, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bahaj, Saleem & Reis, Ricardo, 2026. "The fiscal implications of parallel currencies," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 141134, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Olivier Jeanne, 2026. "From Fiscal Deadlock to Financial Repression: Anatomy of a Fall," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 74(1), pages 36-60, March.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Franziska L. Ohnsorge & Kenneth S. Rogoff & M. Ayhan Kose, 2022. "The Aftermath of Debt Surges," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 637-663, August.
    3. Zhengyang Jiang, 2024. "Exorbitant Privilege: A Safe-Asset View," CESifo Working Paper Series 11279, CESifo.
    4. Limodio,Nicola & Strobbe,Francesco, 2016. "Financial regulation and government revenue : the effects of a policy change in Ethiopia," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7733, The World Bank.
    5. Kliem, Martin & Kriwoluzky, Alexander & Müller, Gernot J. & Scheer, Alexander, 2024. "Financial repression in general equilibrium: The case of the United States, 1948-1974," Discussion Papers 20/2024, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    6. Olga A. Norkina & Sergey E. Pekarski, 2014. "Optimal Financial Repression," HSE Working papers WP BRP 81/EC/2014, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    7. Andreas Hoffmann, 2019. "Beware of Financial Repression: Lessons from History," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 54(4), pages 259-266, July.
    8. Xiang Fang & Bryan Hardy & Karen K Lewis, 2025. "Who Holds Sovereign Debt and Why It Matters," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 38(8), pages 2326-2361.
    9. Betz, Timm & Pond, Amy, 2023. "Democratic institutions and regulatory privileges for government debt," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    10. Mariia A. Elkina, 2021. "Financial Repression And Transmission Of Macroeconomic Shocks In A DSGE Model With Financial Frictions," HSE Working papers WP BRP 246/EC/2021, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    11. Kumar, Alok, 2023. "Financial market imperfections, informality and government spending multipliers," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    12. Jason Allen & Milena Wittwer, 2023. "Centralizing Over-the-Counter Markets?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 131(12), pages 3310-3351.
    13. Kumar, Alok, 2026. "Human and physical capital: Welfare and income effects of government spending," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    14. Martijn Boermans, 2025. "Hedging against inflation: International evidence on investor clientele effects in the bond market," Working Papers 838, DNB.
    15. Horn, Sebastian & Reinhart, Carmen M. & Trebesch, Christoph, 2026. "States as financiers: International lending in war and peace," Kiel Working Papers 2321, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    16. Moretti,Matías & Pandolfi,Lorenzo & Schmukler,Sergio L. & Villegas Bauer,Germán & Williams,Tomás, 2024. "Inelastic Demand Meets Optimal Supply of Risky Sovereign Bonds," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10735, The World Bank.
    17. Valentin Haddad & Alan Moreira & Tyler Muir, 2021. "When Selling Becomes Viral: Disruptions in Debt Markets in the COVID-19 Crisis and the Fed’s Response [Funding value adjustments]," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(11), pages 5309-5351.
    18. Nguyen Van Bon, 2015. "The relationship between public debt and inflation in developing countries: Empirical evidence based on difference panel GMM," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 5(9), pages 128-142, September.
    19. Albertazzi, Ugo & Barbiero, Francesca & Marqués-Ibáñez, David & Popov, Alexander & Rodriguez d’Acri, Costanza & Vlassopoulos, Thomas, 2020. "Monetary policy and bank stability: the analytical toolbox reviewed," Working Paper Series 2377, European Central Bank.
    20. Marco Bassetto & Thomas J. Sargent, 2020. "Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 12(1), pages 659-690, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
    • H60 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - General

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:138502. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: LSERO Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/lsepsuk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.