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Financial regulation and government revenue : the effects of a policy change in Ethiopia

  • Limodio,Nicola
  • Strobbe,Francesco

Financial regulation affects government revenue whenever it imposes both the mandatory quantity and price of government bonds. This paper studies a banking regulation adopted by the National Bank of Ethiopia in April 2011, which forces all private banks to purchase a fixed negative-yield government bond in proportion to private sector lending. Having access to monthly bank balance sheets, a survey of branch costs and public finances documentation, the effect of the policy on government revenue can be tracked. This is compared to three plausible revenue-generating alternatives: raising funds at competitive rates on international markets; distorting the private lending of the state-owned bank; and raising new deposits through additional branches of the state-owned bank. Three main results emerge: the government revenue gain is moderate (1.5-2.6 percent of the tax revenue); banks comply with the policy and amass more safe assets; banks'profit growth slows without turning negative (from 10 percent to 2 percent).

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 7733.

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Date of creation: 28 Jun 2016
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:7733
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