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Experimental Study of Forward and Spot Markets: Contract Failure as a Contributing Factor of Vertical Integration

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  • Esipov Victor
  • Menkhaus Dale J.
  • Yakunina Alla

Abstract

A probability of a partner not fulfilling his forward contract obligations (contract failure) increases in a transition economy. This project investigates the process of price and quantity discovery in a laboratory setting when there is (1) an endogenous choice between forward and spot market institutions and vertical integration; and (2) a certain probability of forward contract failure. The results suggest that in some cases a contract failure creates incentives to integration. To develop a system, which efficiently allocates resources, the state policy should be oriented toward strengthening the legal system and developing of the spot market, which may act like an insurance mechanism for the failed forward trades

Suggested Citation

  • Esipov Victor & Menkhaus Dale J. & Yakunina Alla, 1999. "Experimental Study of Forward and Spot Markets: Contract Failure as a Contributing Factor of Vertical Integration," EERC Working Paper Series 99-02e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    • Handle: RePEc:eer:wpalle:99-02e
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    forward contract; spot market; vertical integration; contract failure; experiment.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
    • C92 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Group Behavior
    • D8 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty
    • L14 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Transactional Relationships; Contracts and Reputation
    • L22 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Organization and Market Structure

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