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Intertemporal Price Adjustments In The Beef Market: A Reduced Form Analysis Of Weekly Data

Author

Listed:
  • Marsh, John M.
  • Brester, Gary W.

Abstract

An intertemporal reduced form model is estimated for boxed beef, carcass, and slaughter prices on a weekly basis. The results indicate that prices respond jointly to changes in economic information within weeks t and t – 1, supporting time-series studies showing farm and wholesale prices to be nearly instantaneously related. However, the existence of market uncertainty entails significant intertemporal lags, revealed by prices stabilizing 9-14 weeks subsequent to a market shock. The model results imply that postponing marketings of fed cattle to capitalize on expected price advantages would be risky and that selling cattle carcass grade and weight is more favorable when prices respond to increases in beef production.

Suggested Citation

  • Marsh, John M. & Brester, Gary W., 1989. "Intertemporal Price Adjustments In The Beef Market: A Reduced Form Analysis Of Weekly Data," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 14(02), December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:wjagec:32354
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32354
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David A. Bessler & Jon A. Brandt, 1982. "Causality Tests in Livestock Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 64(1), pages 140-144.
    2. Milton S. Boyd & B. Wade Brorsen, 1985. "Dynamic Relationship of Weekly Prices In the United States Beef and Pork Marketing Channels," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 33(3), pages 331-342, November.
    3. Crom, Richard, 1970. "A Dynamic Price-Output Model of the Beef and Pork Sectors," Technical Bulletins 171854, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    4. Heien, Dale & Pompelli, Greg, 1988. "The Demand For Beef Products: Cross-Section Estimation Of Demographic And Economic Effects," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(01), July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Joseph, Kishore & Garcia, Philip & Peterson, Paul E., 2016. "Does the Boxed Beef Price Inform the Live Cattle Futures Price?," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, 2016, Boston, Massachusetts 236166, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

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