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Extracting Inflation from Stock Returns to Test Purchasing Power Parity

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  • Chowdhry, Bhagwan

    (U of California, Los Angeles)

  • Roll, Richard
  • Xia, Yihong

    (University of Pennsylvania)

Abstract

We provide a novel method for extracting estimates of realized pure price inflation from stock returns. The key is recognizing that pure price inflation should affect nominal returns of all traded assets by exactly the same amount. The popular Fama-French three-factor model is employed to purge stock returns of real economic factors. We uncover evidence that purchasing power parity holds quite well using the extracted inflation measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Chowdhry, Bhagwan & Roll, Richard & Xia, Yihong, 2003. "Extracting Inflation from Stock Returns to Test Purchasing Power Parity," Working Papers 03-1, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Weiss Center.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecl:upafin:03-1
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    Cited by:

    1. Hyein Shim & Hyeyoen Kim & Sunghyun Kim & Doojin Ryu, 2016. "Testing the relative purchasing power parity hypothesis: the case of Korea," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(25), pages 2383-2395, May.
    2. Egemen Eren & Semyon Malamud, 2018. "Dominant Currency Debt," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 18-55, Swiss Finance Institute.
    3. Eren, Egemen & Malamud, Semyon, 2022. "Dominant currency debt," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 571-589.
    4. Shiu-Sheng Chen, 2012. "Does extracting inflation from stock returns solve the purchasing power parity puzzle?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 1097-1105, June.
    5. Chortareas, Georgios & Kapetanios, George, 2009. "Getting PPP right: Identifying mean-reverting real exchange rates in panels," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 390-404, February.
    6. Azoulay, Eddy & Brenner, Menachem & Landskroner, Yoram & Stein, Roy, 2014. "Inflation risk premium implied by options," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 90-102.
    7. Chortareas, Georgios & Kapetanios, George, 2009. "Getting PPP right: Identifying mean-reverting real exchange rates in panels," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 390-404, February.

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