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Seven Facts about Temporary Layoffs

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  • Nekoei, Arash
  • Weber, Andrea

Abstract

We establish seven facts about temporary layoffs (TL), whose employers communicated an anticipated recall date at layoff: (1) The higher the current TL share at firm/industry-level, the higher (lower) the future recall (layoff) likelihood for both temporary and permanent layoffs (employees); (2) TL is more prevalent in: the upper-middle part of the wage distribution, (3-4) in mass layoffs and recessions; (5) The later the communicated recall date, the lower the accepted new-job wage, unconditional and conditional on non-employment duration; (6) TLs' new-job hazard rate (wage) jumps (drops) when recall likelihood falls; (7) Extending unemployment benefits increases separations in recall-intense sectors.

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  • Nekoei, Arash & Weber, Andrea, 2020. "Seven Facts about Temporary Layoffs," CEPR Discussion Papers 14845, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:14845
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. David R. Agrawal & Aline Bütikofer, 2022. "Public finance in the era of the COVID-19 crisis," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 29(6), pages 1349-1372, December.
    2. Hall, Robert E. & Kudlyak, Marianna, 2022. "The unemployed with jobs and without jobs," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    3. John Coglianese & Brendan M. Price, 2020. "Income in the Off-Season: Household Adaptation to Yearly Work Interruptions," Upjohn Working Papers 20-337, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.
    4. Oskar Jost, 2022. "See you soon: fixed-term contracts, unemployment and recalls in Germany—a linked employer–employee analysis," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(3), pages 601-626, August.
    5. Rudy Arthur, 2021. "Studying the UK job market during the COVID-19 crisis with online job ads," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(5), pages 1-24, May.

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    Keywords

    Classical unemployment;

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