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Threshold transitions in a regional urban system

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  • Jorge H. García

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  • Ahjond S. Garmestani

Abstract

In this paper we analyze the evolution of city size distributions over time in a regional urban system. This urban complex system is in constant flux with changing groups and city migration across existing and newly created groups. Using group formation as an emergent property, transition probabilities across the different groups were calculated. While short-term transition appears chaotic in the intermediate and lower rank groups, long-term transition across all rank groups reveals system structure over time.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorge H. García & Ahjond S. Garmestani, 2011. "Threshold transitions in a regional urban system," VNIVERSITAS ECONÓMICA 008300, UNIVERSIDAD JAVERIANA - BOGOTÁ.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000416:008300
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    File URL: http://cea.javeriana.edu.co/documents/153049/2786252/Vol.11_1_2011.pdf/30f566a2-cb25-4737-b0e1-f29dfada45ec
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Eaton, Jonathan & Eckstein, Zvi, 1997. "Cities and growth: Theory and evidence from France and Japan," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(4-5), pages 443-474, August.
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    6. Kim, Sukkoo & Margo, Robert A., 2004. "Historical perspectives on U.S. economic geography," Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics,in: J. V. Henderson & J. F. Thisse (ed.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 66, pages 2981-3019 Elsevier.
    7. Masahisa Fujita & Tomoya Mori, 2005. "Frontiers of the New Economic Geography-super-," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 84(3), pages 377-405, August.
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    10. Duncan Black & Vernon Henderson, 2003. "Urban evolution in the USA," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 343-372, October.
    11. Ahjond S. Garmestani & Craig R. Allen & Colin M. Gallagher & John D. Mittelstaedt, 2007. "Departures from Gibrat's Law, Discontinuities and City Size Distributions," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 44(10), pages 1997-2007, September.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Tarsha EASON & Ahjond S. GARMESTANI, 2012. "Cross-Scale Dynamics Of A Regional Urban System Through Time," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 36, pages 55-77.
    2. Shana M. Sundstrom & David G. Angeler & Ahjond S. Garmestani & Jorge H. García & Craig R. Allen, 2014. "Transdisciplinary Application of Cross-Scale Resilience," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 6(10), pages 1-24, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    urban systems; complex systems; city size distributions; resilience;

    JEL classification:

    • P00 - Economic Systems - - General - - - General
    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • Z00 - Other Special Topics - - General - - - General

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