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Forced Migration and Crime: Evidence from the 2014 Immigration Wave to Russia

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  • Arsenii Shcherbov

Abstract

Recent years have spurred significant migration movements, underscoring the need to understand their impacts. This study explores a widely-debated correlation between crime and migration. Specifically, I investigate the 2014 migration wave, studying the response of Russian crime rates to the influx of immigrants from Ukraine. I approximate local crime rates using court data on sentencing decisions and describe relevant migration flows with internet search activity. The application of the difference-in-differences method reveals positive effects for property crime sentencing and the heterogeneous response of violent crime sentencing. The findings of this study are policyrelevant and could prove beneficial in understanding and mitigating the effects of future migration waves.

Suggested Citation

  • Arsenii Shcherbov, 2024. "Forced Migration and Crime: Evidence from the 2014 Immigration Wave to Russia," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp782, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    • Handle: RePEc:cer:papers:wp782
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