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Labor market dynamics and geographical reallocations

Author

Listed:
  • Gaetano Basso

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Salvatore Lo Bello

    (Bank of Italy)

  • Francesca Subioli

    (Roma 3 University)

Abstract

We study how local labor demand shocks affect internal migration using the universe of labor market flows for Italy. First, we document two novel facts: i) large and systematic differences between gross and net job and internal migration flows arise both across space and over time; ii) each gross flow is an important driver of the net growth rates. We estimate the causal impact of different-sign labor demand shocks on internal migration flows using as instrumental variable plausibly exogenous large mass hire and layoffs events. Our estimates reveal that job creation has a strong effect on the in-migration rate, whereas job destruction has a much milder effect on the out-migration rate. Crucially, we document that the large responsiveness of in-migration does not work through an increase in the number of relocating workers, but rather through changes in their chosen destination alternatives. We also find that the effects of job creation on in-migration flows have a much larger geographical reach than those of job destruction, as out-migration flows are locally concentrated.

Suggested Citation

  • Gaetano Basso & Salvatore Lo Bello & Francesca Subioli, 2023. "Labor market dynamics and geographical reallocations," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1430, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1430_23
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    labor demand; turnover; layoff; geographic labor mobility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs

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