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Disinflationary shocks and inflation target uncertainty

Author

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  • Stefano Neri

    () (Bank of Italy)

  • Tiziano Ropele

    () (Bank of Italy)

Abstract

In New Keynesian models favourable cost-push shocks lower inflation and increase output. Yet, when the central bank�s inflation target is not perfectly observed these shocks turn contractionary as agents erroneously perceive a temporary reduction in the target. This effect is amplified when monetary policy is constrained by the effective lower bound on the policy rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefano Neri & Tiziano Ropele, 2019. "Disinflationary shocks and inflation target uncertainty," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1230, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_1230_19
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Francesco Corsello & Stefano Neri & Alex Tagliabracci, 2019. "Anchored or de-anchored? That is the question," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 516, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation target; imperfect information; monetary policy;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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