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Measuring the NAIRU in the Spanish Economy

  • Ángel Estrada

    (Banco de España)

  • Ignacio Hernando

    (Banco de España)

  • J. David López-Salido

    (Banco de España)

This paper addresses the issue of measuring the NAIRU in the Spanish economy. We implement some of the procedures proposed in the literature to estimate the NAIRU, describing their advantages and disadvantages. Our analysis shows that these alternative approaches provide significantly different point estimates of the NAIRU. Moreover, whenever some measures of the precision of the estimate are available, the degree of uncertainty is remarkable. Thus, our main conclusion is that the usefulness of the NAIRU concept as a general guideline for discussing and analyzing macroeconomic policy is very limited, given the current state of economic research on this area.

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File URL: http://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/PublicacionesSeriadas/DocumentosTrabajo/00/Fic/dt0009e.pdf
File Function: First version, 2000
Download Restriction: no

Paper provided by Banco de Espa�a in its series Banco de Espa�a Working Papers with number 0009.

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Length: 59 pages
Date of creation: 2000
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:0009
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.bde.es/
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  19. Fabiani, Silvia & Mestre, Ricardo, 2000. "Alternative measures of the NAIRU in the euro area: estimates and assessment," Working Paper Series 0017, European Central Bank.
  20. Ana R. de Lamo & Juan J. Dolado, 1993. "Un modelo del mercado de trabajo y la restricción de oferta en la economía española," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 17(1), pages 87-118, January.
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