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Coupled Supply and Demand Forecasting in Platform Accommodation Markets

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  • Harrison Katz

Abstract

Tourism demand forecasting is methodologically mature, but it typically treats accommodation supply as fixed or exogenous. In platform-mediated short-term rentals, supply is elastic, decision-driven, and co-evolves with demand through pricing, information design, and interventions. I reframe the core issue as endogenous stock-out censoring: realized booked nights satisfy B_{k,t}

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  • Harrison Katz, 2026. "Coupled Supply and Demand Forecasting in Platform Accommodation Markets," Papers 2603.00422, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2026.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2603.00422
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