IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2003.06987.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Degrees of displacement: The impact of household PV battery prosumage on utility generation and storage

Author

Listed:
  • Kelvin Say
  • Wolf-Peter Schill
  • Michele John

Abstract

Reductions in the cost of PV and batteries encourage households to invest in PV battery prosumage. We explore the implications for the rest of the power sector by applying two open-source techno-economic models to scenarios in Western Australia for the year 2030. Household PV capacity generally substitutes utility PV, but slightly less so as additional household batteries are installed. Wind power is less affected, especially in scenarios with higher shares of renewables. With household batteries operating to maximise self-consumption, utility battery capacities are hardly substituted. Wholesale prices to supply households, including those not engaging in prosumage, slightly decrease, while prices for other consumers slightly increase. We conclude that the growth of prosumage has implications on the various elements of the power sector and should be more thoroughly considered by investors, regulators, and power sector planners.

Suggested Citation

  • Kelvin Say & Wolf-Peter Schill & Michele John, 2020. "Degrees of displacement: The impact of household PV battery prosumage on utility generation and storage," Papers 2003.06987, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2003.06987
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2003.06987
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Talent, Orlando & Du, Haiping, 2018. "Optimal sizing and energy scheduling of photovoltaic-battery systems under different tariff structures," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 129(PA), pages 513-526.
    2. Babacan, Oytun & Ratnam, Elizabeth L. & Disfani, Vahid R. & Kleissl, Jan, 2017. "Distributed energy storage system scheduling considering tariff structure, energy arbitrage and solar PV penetration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 1384-1393.
    3. Jeppesen, M. & Brear, M.J. & Chattopadhyay, D. & Manzie, C. & Dargaville, R. & Alpcan, T., 2016. "Least cost, utility scale abatement from Australia's NEM (National Electricity Market). Part 1: Problem formulation and modelling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 606-620.
    4. O. Schmidt & A. Hawkes & A. Gambhir & I. Staffell, 2017. "The future cost of electrical energy storage based on experience rates," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 2(8), pages 1-8, August.
    5. Richard Green and Iain Staffell, 2017. "Prosumage and the British Electricity Market," Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    6. Brear, M.J. & Jeppesen, M. & Chattopadhyay, D. & Manzie, C. & Alpcan, T. & Dargaville, R., 2016. "Least cost, utility scale abatement from Australia's NEM (National Electricity Market). Part 2: Scenarios and policy implications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 621-628.
    7. Budhi Muliawan Suyitno & Amar Abobkr Amar Ahmeda & La Ode Mohamad Firman & Nely Toding Bunga & Erlanda Augupta Pane & Ismail, 2019. "The Heat Efficiency Of Residential Buildings In Libya," Journal of Mechanical Engineering Research & Developments (JMERD), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 42(1), pages 34-41, January.
    8. Wolf-Peter Schill, Alexander Zerrahn, and Friedrich Kunz, 2017. "Prosumage of solar electricity: pros, cons, and the system perspective," Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 1).
    9. Dennis L Buchanan & Mark H. A. Davis, 2018. "Metals and Energy Project Appraisal and Finance," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Metals and Energy Finance Application of Quantitative Finance Techniques to the Evaluation of Minerals, Coal and Petroleum Projects, chapter 8, pages 159-187, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    10. Schill, Wolf-Peter & Zerrahn, Alexander, 2018. "Long-run power storage requirements for high shares of renewables: Results and sensitivities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 156-171.
    11. Bruce Stokes, 2018. "Europeans’ Commitment to the European Project," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 16(03), pages 11-16, November.
    12. Xi Chen & Yu Chen & Xuhu Wan, 2018. "Delegated Project Search," Graz Economics Papers 2018-11, University of Graz, Department of Economics.
    13. Oecd, 2019. "Enabling effective triangular co-operation," OECD Development Policy Papers 23, OECD Publishing.
    14. Ma, Guang, 2019. "The information content of operations-related disclosures," Journal of Accounting Literature, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 87-107.
    15. Paul Simshauser and David Downer, 2016. "On the Inequity of Flat-rate Electricity Tariffs," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    16. Reuter, Wolf Heinrich & Szolgayová, Jana & Fuss, Sabine & Obersteiner, Michael, 2012. "Renewable energy investment: Policy and market impacts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 249-254.
    17. Parra, David & Patel, Martin K., 2016. "Effect of tariffs on the performance and economic benefits of PV-coupled battery systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 175-187.
    18. Yael Parag & Benjamin K. Sovacool, 2016. "Electricity market design for the prosumer era," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 1(4), pages 1-6, April.
    19. Zerrahn, Alexander & Schill, Wolf-Peter & Kemfert, Claudia, 2018. "On the economics of electrical storage for variable renewable energy sources," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 259-279.
    20. Haller, Markus & Ludig, Sylvie & Bauer, Nico, 2012. "Bridging the scales: A conceptual model for coordinated expansion of renewable power generation, transmission and storage," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 2687-2695.
    21. Claudia Gunther & Wolf-Peter Schill & Alexander Zerrahn, 2019. "Prosumage of solar electricity: tariff design, capacity investments, and power system effects," Papers 1907.09855, arXiv.org.
    22. Zerrahn, Alexander & Schill, Wolf-Peter, 2017. "Long-run power storage requirements for high shares of renewables: review and a new model," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1518-1534.
    23. Dennis L Buchanan & Mark H. A. Davis, 2018. "Management of Projects, Markets and Supplies," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Metals and Energy Finance Application of Quantitative Finance Techniques to the Evaluation of Minerals, Coal and Petroleum Projects, chapter 4, pages 67-92, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    24. repec:ces:ifodic:v:16:y:2018:i:3:p:50000000003754 is not listed on IDEAS
    25. T. Brown & L. Reichenberg, 2020. "Decreasing market value of variable renewables can be avoided by policy action," Papers 2002.05209, arXiv.org, revised May 2021.
    26. Say, Kelvin & John, Michele & Dargaville, Roger, 2019. "Power to the people: Evolutionary market pressures from residential PV battery investments in Australia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    27. Scott Agnew & Paul Dargusch, 2015. "Effect of residential solar and storage on centralized electricity supply systems," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(4), pages 315-318, April.
    28. Schopfer, S. & Tiefenbeck, V. & Staake, T., 2018. "Economic assessment of photovoltaic battery systems based on household load profiles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 229-248.
    29. Panos, Evangelos & Kober, Tom & Wokaun, Alexander, 2019. "Long term evaluation of electric storage technologies vs alternative flexibility options for the Swiss energy system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C), pages 1-1.
    30. Chanwoo Cho & Sungjoo Lee, 2014. "Strategic planning using service roadmaps," The Service Industries Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(12), pages 999-1020, August.
    31. Klein, Martin & Ziade, Ahmad & de Vries, Laurens, 2019. "Aligning prosumers with the electricity wholesale market – The impact of time-varying price signals and fixed network charges on solar self-consumption," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    32. Ueckerdt, Falko & Brecha, Robert & Luderer, Gunnar & Sullivan, Patrick & Schmid, Eva & Bauer, Nico & Böttger, Diana & Pietzcker, Robert, 2015. "Representing power sector variability and the integration of variable renewables in long-term energy-economy models using residual load duration curves," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(P2), pages 1799-1814.
    33. A. Stephan & B. Battke & M. D. Beuse & J. H. Clausdeinken & T. S. Schmidt, 2016. "Limiting the public cost of stationary battery deployment by combining applications," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 1(7), pages 1-9, July.
    34. Go, Roderick S. & Munoz, Francisco D. & Watson, Jean-Paul, 2016. "Assessing the economic value of co-optimized grid-scale energy storage investments in supporting high renewable portfolio standards," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 902-913.
    35. Bustos, Cristian & Watts, David & Olivares, Daniel, 2019. "The evolution over time of Distributed Energy Resource’s penetration: A robust framework to assess the future impact of prosumage under different tariff designs," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    36. Tan, P. & Jiang, H.R. & Zhu, X.B. & An, L. & Jung, C.Y. & Wu, M.C. & Shi, L. & Shyy, W. & Zhao, T.S., 2017. "Advances and challenges in lithium-air batteries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 780-806.
    37. Barbour, Edward & Parra, David & Awwad, Zeyad & González, Marta C., 2018. "Community energy storage: A smart choice for the smart grid?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 489-497.
    38. Lin, Boqiang & Jiang, Zhujun, 2012. "Designation and influence of household increasing block electricity tariffs in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 164-173.
    39. Say, Kelvin & John, Michele & Dargaville, Roger & Wills, Raymond T., 2018. "The coming disruption: The movement towards the customer renewable energy transition," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 737-748.
    40. Quoilin, Sylvain & Kavvadias, Konstantinos & Mercier, Arnaud & Pappone, Irene & Zucker, Andreas, 2016. "Quantifying self-consumption linked to solar home battery systems: Statistical analysis and economic assessment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 58-67.
    41. von Appen, J. & Braun, M., 2018. "Strategic decision making of distribution network operators and investors in residential photovoltaic battery storage systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 540-550.
    42. Young, Sharon & Bruce, Anna & MacGill, Iain, 2019. "Potential impacts of residential PV and battery storage on Australia's electricity networks under different tariffs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 616-627.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Günther, Claudia & Schill, Wolf-Peter & Zerrahn, Alexander, 2021. "Prosumage of solar electricity: Tariff design, capacity investments, and power sector effects," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 152.
    2. Fett, Daniel & Fraunholz, Christoph & Keles, Dogan, 2021. "Diffusion and system impact of residential battery storage under different regulatory settings," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    3. Ayat-Allah Bouramdane & Alexis Tantet & Philippe Drobinski, 2021. "Utility-Scale PV-Battery versus CSP-Thermal Storage in Morocco: Storage and Cost Effect under Penetration Scenarios," Post-Print hal-03344439, HAL.
    4. Gaete-Morales, Carlos & Kittel, Martin & Roth, Alexander & Schill, Wolf-Peter, 2021. "DIETERpy: A Python framework for the Dispatch and Investment Evaluation Tool with Endogenous Renewables," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 15.
    5. Say, Kelvin & John, Michele, 2021. "Molehills into mountains: Transitional pressures from household PV-battery adoption under flat retail and feed-in tariffs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    6. Kobashi, Takuro & Choi, Younghun & Hirano, Yujiro & Yamagata, Yoshiki & Say, Kelvin, 2022. "Rapid rise of decarbonization potentials of photovoltaics plus electric vehicles in residential houses over commercial districts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    7. Younghun Choi & Takuro Kobashi & Yoshiki Yamagata & Akito Murayama, 2021. "Assessment of waterfront office redevelopment plan on optimal building energy demand and rooftop photovoltaics for urban decarbonization," Papers 2108.09029, arXiv.org.
    8. Aniello, Gianmarco & Bertsch, Valentin, 2023. "Shaping the energy transition in the residential sector: Regulatory incentives for aligning household and system perspectives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 333(C).
    9. Qusay Hassan & Bartosz Pawela & Ali Hasan & Marek Jaszczur, 2022. "Optimization of Large-Scale Battery Storage Capacity in Conjunction with Photovoltaic Systems for Maximum Self-Sustainability," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-21, May.
    10. Kirchem, Dana & Schill, Wolf-Peter, 2023. "Power sector effects of green hydrogen production in Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    11. Myriam Caratù & Valerio Brescia & Ilaria Pigliautile & Paolo Biancone, 2023. "Assessing Energy Communities’ Awareness on Social Media with a Content and Sentiment Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-28, April.
    12. Javier L'opez Prol & Wolf-Peter Schill, 2020. "The Economics of Variable Renewables and Electricity Storage," Papers 2012.15371, arXiv.org.
    13. Wanessa Guedes & Lucas Deotti & Bruno Dias & Tiago Soares & Leonardo Willer de Oliveira, 2022. "Community Energy Markets with Battery Energy Storage Systems: A General Modeling with Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-22, October.
    14. Stöckl, Fabian & Schill, Wolf-Peter & Zerrahn, Alexander, 2021. "Optimal supply chains and power sector benefits of green hydrogen," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 11.
    15. Say, Kelvin & Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna & Brown, Felix Gabriel & Wang, Changlong, 2023. "The economics of public transport electrification: A case study from Victoria, Australia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    16. Ayat-allah Bouramdane & Alexis Tantet & Philippe Drobinski, 2021. "Utility-Scale PV-Battery versus CSP-Thermal Storage in Morocco: Storage and Cost Effect under Penetration Scenarios," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-43, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Javier L'opez Prol & Wolf-Peter Schill, 2020. "The Economics of Variable Renewables and Electricity Storage," Papers 2012.15371, arXiv.org.
    2. Günther, Claudia & Schill, Wolf-Peter & Zerrahn, Alexander, 2021. "Prosumage of solar electricity: Tariff design, capacity investments, and power sector effects," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 152.
    3. Say, Kelvin & John, Michele, 2021. "Molehills into mountains: Transitional pressures from household PV-battery adoption under flat retail and feed-in tariffs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    4. Say, Kelvin & John, Michele & Dargaville, Roger, 2019. "Power to the people: Evolutionary market pressures from residential PV battery investments in Australia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    5. Claudia Gunther & Wolf-Peter Schill & Alexander Zerrahn, 2019. "Prosumage of solar electricity: tariff design, capacity investments, and power system effects," Papers 1907.09855, arXiv.org.
    6. Parra, David & Mauger, Romain, 2022. "A new dawn for energy storage: An interdisciplinary legal and techno-economic analysis of the new EU legal framework," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    7. Aniello, Gianmarco & Bertsch, Valentin, 2023. "Shaping the energy transition in the residential sector: Regulatory incentives for aligning household and system perspectives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 333(C).
    8. Keck, Felix & Lenzen, Manfred, 2021. "Drivers and benefits of shared demand-side battery storage – an Australian case study," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    9. O'Shaughnessy, Eric & Cutler, Dylan & Ardani, Kristen & Margolis, Robert, 2018. "Solar plus: A review of the end-user economics of solar PV integration with storage and load control in residential buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 2165-2175.
    10. Andreolli, Francesca & D’Alpaos, Chiara & Moretto, Michele, 2022. "Valuing investments in domestic PV-Battery Systems under uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    11. Fabian Stöckl & Alexander Zerrahn, 2023. "Substituting Clean for Dirty Energy: A Bottom-Up Analysis," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 10(3), pages 819-863.
    12. Neetzow, Paul & Mendelevitch, Roman & Siddiqui, Sauleh, 2019. "Modeling coordination between renewables and grid: Policies to mitigate distribution grid constraints using residential PV-battery systems," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1017-1033.
    13. Han, Xuejiao & Garrison, Jared & Hug, Gabriela, 2022. "Techno-economic analysis of PV-battery systems in Switzerland," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    14. Martin Kittel & Wolf-Peter Schill, 2021. "Renewable Energy Targets and Unintended Storage Cycling: Implications for Energy Modeling," Papers 2107.13380, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.
    15. Fabian Scheller & Robert Burkhardt & Robert Schwarzeit & Russell McKenna & Thomas Bruckner, 2020. "Competition between simultaneous demand-side flexibility options: The case of community electricity storage systems," Papers 2011.05809, arXiv.org.
    16. Bayley, Stephen H., 2022. "Learning for adaptation and 21st-century skills: Evidence of pupils’ flexibility in Rwandan primary schools," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    17. Say, Kelvin & Csereklyei, Zsuzsanna & Brown, Felix Gabriel & Wang, Changlong, 2023. "The economics of public transport electrification: A case study from Victoria, Australia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    18. Andreolli, Francesca & D'Alpaos, Chiara & Kort, Peter, 2023. "Does P2P Trading Favor Investments in PV-Battery Systems?," FEEM Working Papers 330498, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    19. Thimet, P.J. & Mavromatidis, G., 2022. "Review of model-based electricity system transition scenarios: An analysis for Switzerland, Germany, France, and Italy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    20. Zerrahn, Alexander & Schill, Wolf-Peter & Kemfert, Claudia, 2018. "On the economics of electrical storage for variable renewable energy sources," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 108, pages 259-279.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2003.06987. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.