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Grain Price Stability And Farmer Decision Making In China


  • Chen, Jing
  • Rozelle, Scott
  • Carter, Colin A.


In this paper we find that real grain prices in China have displayed increased volatility in the past decade. This is true for rice, wheat, corn, and for most of provinces. Farmers in China are found to be risk averse because when they make acreage allocation decisions. Given the widespread access to land in China, farmers mostly respond negatively in their sown area decisions towards price risk. The large price variations from 1984-1995 may have contributed to the slowdown in agricultural output growth from 1984-1995.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Jing & Rozelle, Scott & Carter, Colin A., 1999. "Grain Price Stability And Farmer Decision Making In China," 1999 Annual meeting, August 8-11, Nashville, TN 21538, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea99:21538

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Israel Finkelshtain & James A. Chalfant, 1997. "Commodity Price Stabilization in a Peasant Economy," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 79(4), pages 1208-1217.
    2. Ismet, Mohammad & Barkley, Andrew P. & Llewelyn, Richard V., 1998. "Government intervention and market integration in Indonesian rice markets," Agricultural Economics of Agricultural Economists, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 19(3), December.
    3. Islam, Nurul & Thomas, Saji, 1996. "Foodgrain price stabilization in developing countries," Food policy reviews 3, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Albert Park & Hehui Jin & Scott Rozelle & Jikun Huang, 2002. "Market Emergence and Transition: Arbitrage, Transaction Costs, and Autarky in China's Grain Markets," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 84(1), pages 67-82.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wubiao Zhou, 2010. "The role of the state in making a national market: The evolution of the grain market in China (1978-2000)," China Agricultural Economic Review, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 276-297, September.


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