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Kesten Charles Green

Personal Details

First Name:Kesten
Middle Name:Charles
Last Name:Green
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pgr97
http://kestencgreen.com

Affiliation

(50%) Ehrenberg-Bass Institute for Marketing Science
School of Marketing
Business School
University of South Australia

Adelaide, Australia
http://www.marketingscience.info/
RePEc:edi:imusaau (more details at EDIRC)

(50%) School of Commerce
Business School
University of South Australia

Adelaide, Australia
http://www.unisabusinessschool.edu.au/commerce/
RePEc:edi:scusaau (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Graefe, Andreas, 2014. "Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative," MPRA Paper 53579, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C., 2012. "Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies," MPRA Paper 43007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2012. "Evidence on the effects of mandatory disclaimers in advertising," MPRA Paper 37766, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2009. "Role thinking: Standing in other people’s shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts," MPRA Paper 16422, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  5. Green, Kesten C & Armstrong, J Scott & Soon, Willie, 2008. "Benchmark forecasts for climate change," MPRA Paper 12163, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  6. Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Jones, Randall J. & Wright, Malcolm, 2008. "Predicting elections from politicians’ faces," MPRA Paper 9150, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  7. Green, Kesten C., 2008. "Assessing probabilistic forecasts about particular situations," MPRA Paper 8836, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  8. Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Soon, Willie, 2007. "Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit," MPRA Paper 6317, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  9. Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas, 2007. "Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared," MPRA Paper 4663, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  10. Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007. "Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts," MPRA Paper 4361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  11. J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green, 2005. "Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 24/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  12. Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2005. "Competitor-oriented Objectives: The Myth of Market Share," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  13. Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2005. "The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts?," Others 0511003, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2004. "Value of Expertise For Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 27/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  15. Kesten C. Green, 2004. "Further evidence on game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 18/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  16. Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2004. "Structured analogies for forecasting," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/04, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.

Articles

  1. Andreas Graefe & Kesten C Green & J Scott Armstrong, 2019. "Accuracy gains from conservative forecasting: Tests using variations of 19 econometric models to predict 154 elections in 10 countries," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, January.
  2. J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green, 2018. "Forecasting methods and principles: Evidence-based checklists," Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 103-159, April.
  3. Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Graefe, Andreas, 2015. "Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated: Forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1768-1771.
  4. Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2015. "Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1678-1685.
  5. Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Graefe, Andreas, 2015. "Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1717-1731.
  6. Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C., 2013. "Effects of corporate social responsibility and irresponsibility policies," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(10), pages 1922-1927.
  7. Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2011. "Role thinking: Standing in other people's shoes to forecast decisions in conflicts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 69-80, January.
  8. J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green & Willie Soon, 2011. "Research on Forecasting for the Manmade Global Warming Alarm," Energy & Environment, , vol. 22(8), pages 1091-1104, December.
  9. Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott & Soon, Willie, 2009. "Validity of climate change forecasting for public policy decision making," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 826-832, October.
  10. Kesten Green & Len Tashman, 2008. "Should We Define Forecast Error as E = F - A Or E = A - F?," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 10, pages 38-40, Summer.
  11. J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green & Willie Soon, 2008. "Polar Bear Population Forecasts: A Public-Policy Forecasting Audit," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 38(5), pages 382-405, October.
  12. Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007. "Structured analogies for forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 365-376.
  13. Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2007. "The Ombudsman: Value of Expertise for Forecasting Decisions in Conflicts," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 37(3), pages 287-299, June.
  14. Kesten Green & J. Scott Armstrong & Andreas Graefe, 2007. "Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 8, pages 17-20, Fall.
  15. Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2007. "Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists Versus Scientific Forecasts," Energy & Environment, , vol. 18(7), pages 997-1021, December.
  16. Green, Kesten C., 2005. "Game theory, simulated interaction, and unaided judgement for forecasting decisions in conflicts: Further evidence," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 463-472.
  17. Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2005. "The War in Iraq: Should We Have Expected Better Forecasts?," Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, International Institute of Forecasters, issue 2, pages 50-52, October.
  18. Green, Kesten C., 2002. "Forecasting decisions in conflict situations: a comparison of game theory, role-playing, and unaided judgement," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 321-344.
  19. Green, Kesten C., 2002. "Embroiled in a conflict: who do you call?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 389-395.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 14 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (10) 2005-10-15 2005-11-19 2007-08-14 2007-09-09 2007-12-19 2008-05-31 2008-06-21 2008-12-21 2009-07-28 2014-02-15. Author is listed
  2. NEP-CBE: Cognitive & Behavioural Economics (6) 2005-10-15 2007-09-09 2007-12-19 2008-06-21 2009-07-28 2012-04-10. Author is listed
  3. NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (3) 2007-08-14 2007-12-19 2008-12-21
  4. NEP-MKT: Marketing (3) 2005-07-11 2005-10-15 2012-04-10
  5. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (2) 2005-10-15 2007-08-14
  6. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (2) 2007-08-14 2008-12-21
  7. NEP-EXP: Experimental Economics (2) 2012-04-10 2012-12-10
  8. NEP-POL: Positive Political Economics (2) 2004-12-20 2008-06-21
  9. NEP-AGR: Agricultural Economics (1) 2008-12-21
  10. NEP-CDM: Collective Decision-Making (1) 2008-06-21
  11. NEP-COM: Industrial Competition (1) 2005-07-11
  12. NEP-HPE: History & Philosophy of Economics (1) 2009-07-28
  13. NEP-MIC: Microeconomics (1) 2004-12-20
  14. NEP-NEU: Neuroeconomics (1) 2009-07-28
  15. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (1) 2014-02-15
  16. NEP-RES: Resource Economics (1) 2012-12-10
  17. NEP-SOG: Sociology of Economics (1) 2014-02-15

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