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The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts?


  • Kesten C. Green

    (Monash University)

  • J. Scott Armstrong

    (Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania)


The authors report the results of several forecasting experiments they conducted with university students and experts, producing some amazing results. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2005
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

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  • Kesten C. Green & J. Scott Armstrong, 2005. "The war in Iraq: Should we have expected better forecasts?," Others 0511003, EconWPA.
  • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpot:0511003
    Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 3

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Knack, Stephen, 2000. "Social capital and the quality of Government : evidence from the U.S. States," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2504, The World Bank.
    2. Davidson, James E H, et al, 1978. "Econometric Modelling of the Aggregate Time-Series Relationship between Consumers' Expenditure and Income in the United Kingdom," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 88(352), pages 661-692, December.
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    JEL classification:

    • P - Economic Systems
    • Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics
    • Z - Other Special Topics

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