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Publications

by members of

Christian-Albrechts-Universität Kiel → Institut für Statistik und Ökonometrie

University of Kiel → Institute for Statistics and Econometrics

These are publications listed in RePEc written by members of the above institution who are registered with the RePEc Author Service. Thus this compiles the works all those currently affiliated with this institution, not those affilated at the time of publication. List of registered members. Register yourself. Citation analysis. Find also a compilation of publications from alumni here.

This page is updated in the first days of each month.

| Working papers | Journal articles |

Working papers

2024

  1. Beck, Günter W. & Carstensen, Kai & Menz, Jan-Oliver & Schnorrenberger, Richard & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2024, "Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: evidence from Germany," Working Paper Series, European Central Bank, number 2930, Apr.
  2. Richard Schnorrenberger & Aishameriane Schmidt & Guilherme Valle Moura, 2024, "Harnessing Machine Learning for Real-Time Inflation Nowcasting," Working Papers, DNB, number 806, Mar.
  3. Schnorrenberger, Richard & Schwind, Patrick & Wieland, Elisabeth, 2024, "Forecasting HICP package holidays with forward-looking booking data," Technical Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank, number 04/2024.

2023

  1. Kai Carstensen & Felix Kießner & Thies Rossian, 2023, "Estimation of the TFP Gap for the Largest Five EMU Countries," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 10245.

2021

  1. Bachmann, Rüdiger & Carstensen, Kai & Lautenbacher, Stefan & Schneider, Martin, 2021, "Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms’ Subjective Beliefs," CEPR Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Policy Research, number 16689, Nov.
  2. Ruediger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Stefan Lautenbacher & Manuel Menkhoff & Martin Schneider, 2021, "Uncertainty and Change: Survey Evidence of Firms’ Subjective Beliefs," NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number 29430, Oct.

2019

  1. Ademmer, Martin & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Carstensen, Kai & Hauber, Philipp & Jannsen, Nils & Kooths, Stefan & Rossian, Thies & Stolzenburg, Ulrich, 2019, "Schätzung von Produktionspotenzial und -lücke: Eine Analyse des EU-Verfahrens und mögliche Verbesserungen," Kieler Beiträge zur Wirtschaftspolitik, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 19.

2018

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Bachmann, Rüdiger & Schneider, Martin & Lautenbacher, Stefan, 2018, "Uncertainty is Change," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association, number 181572.

2017

  1. Kai Carstensen & Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif & Maik H. Wolters, 2017, "Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 6457.
  2. Martin Schneider & Kai Carstensen & Ruediger Bachmann, 2017, "Firms’ Uncertainty and Ambiguity," 2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics, number 681.
  3. Carstensen, Kai & Wolters, Maik H., 2017, "Normaler Abschwung oder schwere Rezession? Ein neues Modell für die Prognose der Konjunkturphasen in Deutschland," Kiel Insight, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 2017.14.

2016

  1. Kai Carstensen & Leonard Salzmann, 2016, "The G7 Business Cycle in a Globalized World," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 5980.

2013

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Elstner, Steffen & Paula, Georg, 2013, "How much did oil market developments contribute to the 2009 recession in Germany?," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19935.
  2. Elsas, Ralf & Carstensen, Kai, 2013, "EBDC Business Innovation Panel (2012)," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 20556.
  3. Elsas, Ralf & Carstensen, Kai, 2013, "EBDC Business Expectations Panel (2012)," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 20557.
  4. Elsas, Ralf & Carstensen, Kai, 2013, "EBDC Business Investment Panel (2012)," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 20565.
  5. Floro, Danvee & Tesfaselassie, Mewael F., 2013, "Can forward guidance be ambiguous yet effective?," Kiel Policy Briefs, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 65.

2012

  1. Berg, Tim O. & Carstensen, Kai & Horn, Gustav A. & Lamla, Michael J. & Sturm, Jan-Egbert & Schnabl, Gunther & Weizsäcker, Carl C. von, 2012, "Funktionswandel der EZB?," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 20266.
    • Tim Berg & Kai Carstensen & Gustav Horn & Michael Lamla & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Gunther Schnabl & Carl Weizsäcker, 2012, "Funktionswandel der EZB?," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 92, issue 2, pages 79-94, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-012-1332-0.

2011

  1. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Elstner & Georg Paula, 2011, "How Strongly Did the 2007/08 Oil Price Hike Contribute to the Subsequent Recession?," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3357.
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Schenkelberg, Heike, 2011, "Time- or State-Dependence? An Analysis of Inflation Dynamics using German Business Survey Data," Discussion Papers in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 12170, Mar.

2010

  1. Kai Carstensen & Klaus Wohlrabe & Christina Ziegler, 2010, "Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 3158.
  2. Carstensen, Kai, 2010, "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2010: Deutschland im Aufschwung," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19937.
  3. Buch, Claudia M. & Carstensen, Kai & Schertler, Andrea, 2010, "Macroeconomic shocks and banks’ foreign assets," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19988.
  4. Buchen, Teresa & Carstensen, Kai & Henzel, Steffen & Wollmershäuser, Timo, 2010, "Was kostet die Krise? Mittelfristige Wachstumsperspektiven in Deutschland, 2010 - 2014," Discussion Papers in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 11438, Mar.

2009

  1. Kai Carstensen & Oliver Hülsewig & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2009, "Price Dispersion in the Euro Area: The Case of a Symmetric Oil Price Shock," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2718.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Oliver Hülsewig & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2009, "Monetary Policy Transmission and House Prices: European Cross-country Evidence," CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo, number 2750.
  3. Carstensen, Kai & Gundlach, Erich & Hartmann, Susanne, 2009, "The augmented Solow model with Mincerian schooling and externalities," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19927.
  4. Carstensen, Kai, 2009, "Im Sog der Weltrezession," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19938.
  5. Broda, Simon & Carstensen, Kai & Paolella, Marc S., 2009, "Assessing and improving the performance of nearly efficient unit root tests in small samples," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 20017.

2008

  1. Kai Carstensen & Jan Hagen & Oliver Hossfeld & Abelardo Salazar Neaves, 2008, "Money Demand Stability and Inflation Prediction in the Four Largest EMU Countries," ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 61.
  2. Büttner, Thiess & Carstensen, Kai, 2008, "Stabilisierungsbeitrag der Finanzpolitik," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19973.

2007

  1. Broda, Simon & Paolella, Marc S. & Carstensen, Kai, 2007, "Bias-adjusted estimation in the ARX(1) model," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19992.
  2. Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Sander, Birgit & Scheide, Joachim & Carstensen, Kai & Boss, Alfred & Dovern, Jonas & Meier, Carsten-Patrick, 2007, "Weltkonjunktur und deutsche Konjunktur im Frühjahr 2007," Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 439/440.
  3. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Scheide, Joachim, 2007, "Konjunktur im Euroraum außerhalb Deutschlands bleibt aufwärts gerichtet," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 4002.
  4. Carstensen, Kai, 2007, "Is core money growth a good and stable inflation predictor in the euro area?," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1318.

2006

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Gundlach, Erich, 2006, "The primacy of institutions reconsidered: Direct income effects of malaria prevalence," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19929.
  2. Carstensen, Kai, 2006, "Stock market downswing and the stability of European monetary union money demand," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19940.
  3. Carstensen, Kai, 2006, "Estimating the ECB policy reaction function," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19941.

2005

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Gundlach, Erich, 2005, "The primacy of institutions reconsidered: The effects of malaria prevalence in the empirics of development," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1210.
  2. Buch, Claudia M. & Carstensen, Kai & Schertler, Andrea, 2005, "Macroeconomic Shocks and Foreign Bank Assets," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1254.

2004

  1. Kai Carstensen & Farid Toubal, 2004, "Foreign Direct Investment in Central and Eastern European Countries: A Dynamic Panel Analysis," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL, number hal-00311585, DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2003.11.001.
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Hansen, Gerd, 2004, "Inflationary shocks in Germany: A common trends analysis [Inflationäre Schocks in Deutschland: Eine Common Trends Analyse]," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19948.
  3. Benner, Joachim & Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2004, "Euroland: Konjunktur verliert wieder an Fahrt," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 20244.
  4. Benner, Joachim & Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Oskamp, Frank & Scheide, Joachim, 2004, "Euroland: Recovery will slow down," Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 415.
  5. Carstensen, Kai, 2004, "Is European Money Demand Still Stable?," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1179.
  6. Colavecchio, Roberta & Carstensen, Kai, 2004, "Did the Revision of the ECB Monetary Policy Strategy Affect the Reaction Function?," Kiel Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 1221.

2003

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2003, "Euroland: Stagnation wird allmählich überwunden," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19932.
  2. Carstensen, Kai, 2003, "The finite-sample performance of robust unit root tests," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19943.
  3. Carstensen, Kai, 2003, "Nonstationary term premia and cointegration of the term structure," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19944.
  4. Carstensen, Kai, 2003, "Forecasting Inflation from the Term Structure," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19945.
  5. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2003, "Gradual recovery in Euroland," Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 405.

2002

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2002, "Euroland: Aufschwung verzögert sich," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19934.
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Gern, Klaus-Jürgen & Kamps, Christophe & Scheide, Joachim, 2002, "Euroland: Upswing postponed," Kiel Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, number 396.

2000

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Hansen, Gerd, 2000, "Cointegration and common trends on the West German labour market," Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics, number 19947.

Journal articles

2022

  1. Rüdiger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Manuel Menkhoff & Martin Schneider, 2022, "Umsatzunsicherheit und Umsatzerwartungen deutscher Firmen zur Zeit des Ukraine-Kriegs: Gas und Gasausfall spielen eine eher geringe Rolle," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 75, issue 06, pages 33-36, June.

2021

  1. Ruediger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Martin Schneider, 2021, "Bestimmungsfaktoren von subjektiver Unsicherheit auf der Firmenebene," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 74, issue 06, pages 57-62, June.

2020

  1. Ruediger Bachmann & Kai Carstensen & Stefan Lautenbacher & Martin Schneider, 2020, "Unsicherheit und Beschäftigungsabbau in der Coronakrise," ifo Schnelldienst Digital, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 1, issue 09, pages 01-04, May.
  2. Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020, "Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, volume 36, issue 3, pages 829-850, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.09.005.

2019

  1. Kai Carstensen & Magnus Reif & Maik Wolters, 2019, "Rezessionsrisiko der deutschen Wirtschaft deutlich erhöht," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 72, issue 05, pages 28-31, March.

2017

  1. Carstensen, K. & Salzmann, L., 2017, "The G7 business cycle in a globalized world," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, volume 73, issue PA, pages 134-161, DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2017.02.002.

2013

  1. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Elstner & Georg Paula, 2013, "How Much Did Oil Market Developments Contribute to the 2009 Recession in Germany?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, volume 115, issue 3, pages 695-721, July.
  2. Tim Oliver Berg & Kai Carstensen, 2013, "Vorteile Deutschlands durch die Währungsunion?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 66, issue 10, pages 50-54, May.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wolfgang Meister & Johanna Garnitz &, 2013, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2013/2014: Günstige Perspektiven für die deutsche Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 66, issue 13, pages 17-64, July.
  4. Kai Carstensen & Elisabeth Wieland & Gert G. Wagner & Bruno S. Frey & Martin Zeil & Ludger Wößmann & Edelgard Bulmahn & Ottmar Edenhofer & Michael Jakob & Jan Steckel & Carl Christian von Weizsäcker &, 2013, "Wohlstand und Wachstum," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 66, issue 15, pages 03-32, August.
  5. Steffen Henzel & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Kai Carstensen & Christian Grimme & Oliver Hülsewig & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wolfgang Meister &, 2013, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2013/2014: Deutsche Konjunkturlokomotive kommt unter Dampf," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 66, issue 24, pages 20-67, December.

2012

  1. Benjamin Born & Teresa Buchen & Kai Carstensen & Christian Grimme & Michael Kleemann & Klaus Wohlrabe & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2012, "Austritt Griechenlands aus der Europäischen Währungsunion: Historische Erfahrungen, makroökonomische Konsequenzen und organisatorische Umsetzung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 65, issue 10, pages 09-37, May.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Benjamin Born & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wol, 2012, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2012/2013: Erhöhte Unsicherheit dämpft deutsche Konjunktur erneut," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 65, issue 13, pages 15-68, July.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Tim Oliver Berg & Buchen,Teresa & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Atanas Hristov & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wo, 2012, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2012/2013: Eurokrise verzögert Aufschwung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 65, issue 24, pages 15-65, December.
  4. Tim Berg & Kai Carstensen & Gustav Horn & Michael Lamla & Jan-Egbert Sturm & Gunther Schnabl & Carl Weizsäcker, 2012, "Funktionswandel der EZB?," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 92, issue 2, pages 79-94, February, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-012-1332-0.

2011

  1. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim Oliver Berg & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Wo, 2011, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Aufschwung geht langsamer voran," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 64, issue 13, pages 16-62, July.
  2. Tim Oliver Berg & Kai Carstensen & Hans-Werner Sinn, 2011, "Was kosten Eurobonds?," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 64, issue 17, pages 25-33, September.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim Oliver Berg & Benjamin Born & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Micha, 2011, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Schuldenkrise bremst deutsche Wirtschaft aus," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 64, issue 24, pages 26-72, December.
  4. Carstensen Kai & Wohlrabe Klaus & Ziegler Christina, 2011, "Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 231, issue 1, pages 82-106, February, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2011-0107.

2010

  1. Hans-Werner Sinn & Kai Carstensen, 2010, "Ein Krisenmechanismus für die Eurozone," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 63, issue 1, pages 01-17, November.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Christian Breuer & Teresa Buchen & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Johannes Mayr & Wolf, 2010, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010/2011:Auftriebskräfte verlagern sich nach Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 63, issue 12, pages 12-63, June.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Tim Oliver Berg & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Christian Grimme & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Jo, 2010, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011: Aufschwung setzt sich verlangsamt fort," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 63, issue 24, pages 18-68, December.
  4. Claudia M. Buch & Kai Carstensen & Andrea Schertler, 2010, "Macroeconomic Shocks and Banks' Foreign Assets," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, volume 42, issue 1, pages 171-188, February.
  5. Kai Carstensen, 2010, "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose Herbst 2010: Deutschland im aufschwung," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 90, issue 11, pages 772-774, November, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-010-1150-1.

2009

  1. Kai Carstensen & Erich Gundlach & Susanne Hartmann, 2009, "The Augmented Solow Model with Mincerian Schooling and Externalities," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, volume 10, issue 4, pages 448-463, November, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0475.2009.00490.x.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Jan Hagen & Oliver Hossfeld & Abelardo Salazar Neaves, 2009, "Money Demand Stability And Inflation Prediction In The Four Largest Emu Countries," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, volume 56, issue 1, pages 73-93, February, DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9485.2009.00473.x.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Georg Paula & Anna Wolf & Timo Wollmers, 2009, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2009/2010: Abschwung setzt sich fort," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 62, issue 12, pages 11-57, June.
  4. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009, "IFOCAST: Methoden der ifo-Kurzfristprognose," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 62, issue 23, pages 15-28, December.
  5. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Teresa Buchen & Christian Breuer & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Nikolay Hristov & Michael Kleemann & Johannes Mayr & Wolfg, 2009, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010: Deutsche Wirtschaft ohne Dynamik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 62, issue 24, pages 17-64, December.
  6. Kai Carstensen, 2009, "Im Sog der Weltrezession," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, volume 89, issue 5, pages 284-284, May, DOI: 10.1007/s10273-009-0925-8.
  7. Simon Broda & Kai Carstensen & Marc Paolella, 2009, "Assessing and Improving the Performance of Nearly Efficient Unit Root Tests in Small Samples," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, volume 28, issue 5, pages 468-494, DOI: 10.1080/07474930802467282.

2008

  1. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Klaus Abberger & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Dirk Ulbricht & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2008, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2008/2009: Aufschwung geht zu Ende," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 61, issue 12, pages 09-54, June.
  2. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Oliver Hülsewig & Klaus Abberger & Christian Breuer & Thiess Büttner & Steffen Elstner & Steffen Henzel & R. Hild & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Timo Wollmer, 2008, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2009: Deutsche Wirtschaft in der Rezession," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 61, issue 24, pages 21-69, December.

2007

  1. Kai Carstensen & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Steffen Henzel & Oliver Hülsewig & Erich Langmantel & Johannes Mayr & Wolfgang Meister & Monika Ruschinski & Hans-Werner Sinn & Anna Wolf & Dirk Ulbricht & Timo Wo, 2007, "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2008: Konjunktur verliert an Fahrt," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, volume 60, issue 24, pages 09-58, December.
  2. Broda, Simon & Carstensen, Kai & Paolella, Marc S., 2007, "Bias-adjusted estimation in the ARX(1) model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, volume 51, issue 7, pages 3355-3367, April.

2006

  1. Carstensen, Kai, 2006, "Stock Market Downswing and the Stability of European Monetary Union Money Demand," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, volume 24, pages 395-402, October.
  2. Kai Carstensen, 2006, "Estimating the ECB Policy Reaction Function," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, volume 7, issue 1, pages 1-34, February, DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0475.2006.00145.x.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Roberta Colavecchio, 2006, "The EBC Monetary Policy and its Taylor-type Reaction Function," Rivista italiana degli economisti, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 51-86.
  4. Kai Carstensen & Erich Gundlach, 2006, "The Primacy of Institutions Reconsidered: Direct Income Effects of Malaria Prevalence," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, volume 20, issue 3, pages 309-339.

2004

  1. Carstensen, Kai & Toubal, Farid, 2004, "Foreign direct investment in Central and Eastern European countries: a dynamic panel analysis," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, volume 32, issue 1, pages 3-22, March.
  2. Carstensen Kai & Hansen Gerd, 2004, "Inflationäre Schocks in Deutschland: Eine Common Trends Analyse / Inflationary Shocks in Germany: A Common Trends Analysis," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, volume 224, issue 3, pages 271-291, June, DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2004-0301.

2003

  1. Carstensen, Kai, 2003, "Nonstationary term premia and cointegration of the term structure," Economics Letters, Elsevier, volume 80, issue 3, pages 409-413, September.
  2. Kai Carstensen, 2003, "The finite-sample performance of robust unit root tests," Statistical Papers, Springer, volume 44, issue 4, pages 469-482, October, DOI: 10.1007/BF02926005.
  3. Kai Carstensen & Julia Hawellek, 2003, "Forecasting inflation from the term structure," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), volume 139, issue 2, pages 306-323, June, DOI: 10.1007/BF02659747.

2000

  1. Kai Carstensen & Gerd Hansen, 2000, "Cointegration and common trends on the West German labour market," Empirical Economics, Springer, volume 25, issue 3, pages 475-493.

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