IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jintdv/v15y2003i8p1015-1036.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Flow of funds: implications for research on financial sector development and the real economy

Author

Listed:
  • Christopher J. Green

    (Department of Economics, Loughborough University, Loughborough, UK)

  • Victor Murinde

Abstract

This paper provides a selective survey of the leading theoretical and empirical issues surrounding the flow of funds: its meaning and origin, problems of construction, its use in financial modelling and its role as a tool of analysis of intersectoral financial flows. It is argued that there is an intimate connection between the flow of funds, interest rates and asset prices, and hence incomes and expenditures in an economy. The paper discusses flow of funds analysis in the context of developing countries, concentrating on possible applications and methodologies, and the issue of data collection and organization. We explore the reasons for lack of success at empirical flow of funds modelling and propose 'promising research ideas' (PRIs) to apply flow of funds analysis to study the relationship between financial sector development and the real economy, particularly to identify effective financial sector policies in developing countries. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Christopher J. Green & Victor Murinde, 2003. "Flow of funds: implications for research on financial sector development and the real economy," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(8), pages 1015-1036.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jintdv:v:15:y:2003:i:8:p:1015-1036
    DOI: 10.1002/jid.961
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1002/jid.961
    File Function: Link to full text; subscription required
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/jid.961?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anke Hoeffler & Ms. Catherine A Pattillo & Mr. Paul Collier, 1999. "Flight Capital as a Portfolio Choice," IMF Working Papers 1999/171, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Van Wijnbergen, S., 1983. "Interest rate management in LDC's," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 433-452, September.
    3. Jeffrey A. Frankel, 1985. "Portfolio Crowding-Out, Empirically Estimated," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 100(Supplemen), pages 1041-1065.
    4. Sharpe, Ian G, 1973. "A Qtrly Econometric Model of Portfolio Choice-Part I: Specification and Estimation Problems," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 49(128), pages 518-533, December.
    5. Friedman, Benjamin Morton, 1977. "Financial Flow Variables and the Short-Run Determination of Long-Term Interest Rates," Scholarly Articles 4554309, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    6. Backus, David & Purvis, Douglas, 1980. "An Integrated Model of Household Flow-of-Funds Allocations," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(2), pages 400-421, Special I.
    7. Michael C. Lovell, 1963. "Seasonal Adjustment of Economic Time Series and Multiple Regression," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 151, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    8. Buiter, Willem H, 1980. "Walras' Law and All That: Budget Constraints and Balance Sheet Constraints in Period Models and Continuous Time Models," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 21(1), pages 1-16, February.
    9. Feldstein, Martin & Horioka, Charles, 1980. "Domestic Saving and International Capital Flows," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 90(358), pages 314-329, June.
    10. Smith, Gary, 1978. "Dynamic Models of Portfolio Behavior: Comment on Purvis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 68(3), pages 410-416, June.
    11. Jonathan Morduch, 1999. "The Microfinance Promise," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 37(4), pages 1569-1614, December.
    12. Richard Stone & D. G. Champernowne & J. E. Meade, 1942. "The Precision of National Income Estimates," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 9(2), pages 111-125.
    13. Sen, Kunal & Roy, Tirthankar & Krishnan, R. & Mundlay, Arundhati, 1996. "A flow of funds model for India and its implications," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 469-494, October.
    14. Barker, Terry & van der Ploeg, Frederick & Weale, Martin, 1984. "A Balanced System of National Accounts for the United Kingdom," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 30(4), pages 461-485, December.
    15. Backus, David, et al, 1980. "A Model of U.S. Financial and Nonfinancial Economic Behavior," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(2), pages 259-293, Special I.
    16. Bollerslev, Tim & Engle, Robert F & Wooldridge, Jeffrey M, 1988. "A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 96(1), pages 116-131, February.
    17. Hendry, David F. & Pagan, Adrian R. & Sargan, J.Denis, 1984. "Dynamic specification," Handbook of Econometrics, in: Z. Griliches† & M. D. Intriligator (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 18, pages 1023-1100, Elsevier.
    18. Terry Berker & Frederick van der Ploeg & Martin Weale, 1984. "A Balanced System Of National Accounts For The United Kingdom," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 30(4), pages 461-485, December.
    19. Breeden, Douglas T., 1979. "An intertemporal asset pricing model with stochastic consumption and investment opportunities," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 265-296, September.
    20. Aivazian, Varouj A. & Callen, Jeffrey L. & Krinsky, Itzhak & Kwan, Clarence C. Y., 1990. "Risk versus return in the substitutability of debt and equity securities," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 161-178, August.
    21. Tobin, James, 1982. "Money and Finance in the Macroeconomic Process," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 14(2), pages 171-204, May.
    22. Friedman, Benjamin M, 1980. "How Important Is Disaggregation in Structural Models of Interest Rate Determination?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 62(2), pages 271-276, May.
    23. Morris A. Copeland, 1952. "A Study of Moneyflows in the United States," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number cope52-1, March.
    24. Collier, Paul & Hoeffler, Anke & Pattillo, Catherine, 1999. "Flight capital as a portfolio choice," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2066, The World Bank.
    25. Buffie, Edward F, 1991. "Credit Rationing and Capital Accumulation," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 58(231), pages 299-316, August.
    26. Mark Deacon & Andrew Derry, 1994. "Deriving Estimates of Inflation Expectations from the Prices of UK Government Bonds," Bank of England working papers 23, Bank of England.
    27. Courakis, Anthony S, 1988. "Modelling Portfolio Selection," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 98(392), pages 619-642, September.
    28. Honohan, Patrick & Atiyas, Izak, 1993. "Intersectoral Financial Flows in Developing Countries," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 103(418), pages 666-679, May.
    29. P. Mosley, 2001. "Microfinance and Poverty in Bolivia," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 101-132.
    30. Barr, D G & Cuthbertson, Keith, 1991. "Neoclassical Consumer Demand Theory and the Demand for Money," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 101(407), pages 855-876, July.
    31. Purvis, Douglas D, 1978. "Dynamic Models of Portfolio Behavior: More on Pitfalls in Financial Model Building," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 68(3), pages 403-409, June.
    32. Paul Mosley, 1999. "Micro-macro linkages in financial markets: the impact of financial liberalization on access to rural credit in four African countries," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 11(3), pages 367-384.
    33. Cashin, Paul & McDermott, C John, 1998. "Testing the Consumption-CAPM in Developing Equity Markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(2), pages 127-141, April.
    34. Smith, Gary, 1975. "Pitfalls in Financial Model Building: A Clarification," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 65(3), pages 510-516, June.
    35. Tobin, James, 1969. "A General Equilibrium Approach to Monetary Theory," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 1(1), pages 15-29, February.
    36. Gary Smith, 1981. "The Systematic Specification of a Full Prior Covariance Matrix for Asset Demand Equations," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 96(2), pages 317-339.
    37. James Tobin, 1963. "Commercial Banks as Creators of 'Money'," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 159, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    38. Jeffrey A. Frankel & William T. Dickens, 1983. "Are Asset Demand Functions Determined by CAPM?," NBER Working Papers 1113, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    39. Roley, V Vance, 1980. "The Role of Commercial Banks' Portfolio Behavior in the Determination of Treasury Security Yields," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(2), pages 353-369, Special I.
    40. Frankel, Jeffrey & Engel, Charles M., 1984. "Do asset-demand functions optimize over the mean and variance of real returns? A six-currency test," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(3-4), pages 309-323, November.
    41. Friedman, Benjamin M, 1979. "Substitution and Expectation Effects on Long-Term Borrowing Behavior and Long-Term Interest Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(2), pages 131-150, May.
    42. Ian Sharpe, 1973. "A Quarterly Econometric Model of Portfolio Choice—Part I: Specification and Estimation Problems," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 49(4), pages 518-533, December.
    43. J. Copestake & S. Bhalotra & S. Johnson, 2001. "Assessing the Impact of Microcredit: A Zambian Case Study," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(4), pages 81-100.
    44. Smith, Gary N & Brainard, William C, 1982. "A Disequilibrium Model of Savings and Loan Associations," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 37(5), pages 1277-1293, December.
    45. Green, Christopher J & Kiernan, Eric, 1989. "Multicollinearity and Measurement Error in Econometric Financial Modelling," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 57(4), pages 357-369, December.
    46. Merton, Robert C, 1973. "An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(5), pages 867-887, September.
    47. Friedman, Benjamin M, 1977. "Financial Flow Variables and the Short-Run Determination of Long-Term Interest Rates," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(4), pages 661-689, August.
    48. Roley, V Vance, 1983. "Symmetry Restrictions in a System of Financial Asset Demands: Theoretical and Empirical Results," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 65(1), pages 124-130, February.
    49. Benjamin M. Friedman, 1978. "How Important is Disaggregation in Structural Models of Interest Rate Determination?," NBER Working Papers 0294, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    50. Green, Christopher J, 1990. "Asset Demands and Asset Prices in the U.K.: Is There a Risk Premium," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, University of Manchester, vol. 58(3), pages 211-228, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Moore, Tomoe & Green, Christopher J. & Murinde, Victor, 2006. "Financial sector reforms and stochastic policy simulations: A flow of funds model for India," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 319-333, April.
    2. Ni Zhan, 2021. "Where does the Stimulus go? Deep Generative Model for Commercial Banking Deposits," Papers 2101.09230, arXiv.org.
    3. Bashar Al-Zu'bi & Victor Murinde, 2011. "Household portfolio behaviour: evidence from Middle East economies," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(17), pages 1281-1289.
    4. Zeph Nhleko, 2010. "Handling systems challenges from the compilation of flow of funds - the case of South Africa," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), The IFC's contribution to the 57th ISI Session, Durban, August 2009, volume 33, pages 434-440, Bank for International Settlements.
    5. Barend de Beer & Nonhlanhla Nhlapo & Zeph Nhleko, 2010. "A perspective on the South African flow of funds compilation - theory and analysis," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), The IFC's contribution to the 57th ISI Session, Durban, August 2009, volume 33, pages 239-248, Bank for International Settlements.
    6. Apostu Simona-Andreea, 2018. "Statistical and econometric analysis of the correlation between financial transactions and real economy," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 12(1), pages 70-79, May.
    7. Tomoe Moore & Christopher Green & Victor Murinde, 2005. "Portfolio Behaviour in a Flow of Funds Model for the Household Sector in India," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(4), pages 675-702.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alho, Kari, . "Analysis of Financial Markets and Central Bank Policy in the Flow-of-Funds Framework. An Application to the Case of Finland," ETLA A, The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy, number 12.
    2. V. Vance Roley, 1980. "The Effect of Federal Debt Management Policy on Corporate Bond and Equity Yields," NBER Working Papers 0586, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Jeffrey A. Frankel, 1983. "A Test of Portfolio Crowding-Out and Related Issues in Finance," NBER Working Papers 1205, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. V. Vance Roley, 1980. "A Disaggregated Structural Model of the Treasury Securities, Corporate Bond, and Equity Markets: Estimation and Simulation Results," NBER Technical Working Papers 0007, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Engel, Charles & Frankel, Jeffrey A. & Froot, Kenneth A. & Rodrigues, Anthony P., 1995. "Tests of conditional mean-variance efficiency of the U.S. stock market," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 3-18, March.
    6. Benjamin M. Friedman & V. Vance Roley, 1981. "Structural Models of Interest Rate Determination and Portfolio Behavior in the Corporate and Government Bond Markets," NBER Working Papers 0205, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Carl E. Walsh, 1981. "Measurement Error and the Flow of Funds Accounts: Estimates of HouseholdAsset Demand Equations," NBER Working Papers 0732, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Benjamin M. Friedman, 1978. "Price Inflation, Portfolio Choice, and Nominal Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 0235, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Moore, Tomoe & Green, Christopher J. & Murinde, Victor, 2006. "Financial sector reforms and stochastic policy simulations: A flow of funds model for India," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 319-333, April.
    10. Benjamin M. Friedman, 1981. "Debt Management Policy, Interest Rates, and Economic Activity," NBER Working Papers 0830, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Yin‐Wong Cheung & XingWang Qian, 2010. "Capital Flight: China's Experience," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(2), pages 227-247, May.
    12. Attiya Yasmeen Javid, 2000. "Alternative Capital Asset Pricing Models: A Review of Theory and Evidence," PIDE Research Report 2000:3, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    13. Gutiérrez-Nieto, Begoña & Serrano-Cinca, Carlos, 2019. "20 years of research in microfinance: An information management approach," International Journal of Information Management, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 183-197.
    14. Lu Zhang, 2017. "The Investment CAPM," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 23(4), pages 545-603, September.
    15. Jeffrey A. Frankel and William T. Dickens., 1983. "Are Asset-Demand Functions Determined by CAPM?," Research Program in Finance Working Papers 140, University of California at Berkeley.
    16. Benjamin M. Friedman, 1978. "Who Puts the Inflation Premium Into Nominal Interests Rates?," NBER Working Papers 0231, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Roussanov, Nikolai, 2014. "Composition of wealth, conditioning information, and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(2), pages 352-380.
    18. Benjamin M. Friedman & V. Vance Roley, 1985. "Aspects of Investor Behavior Under Risk," NBER Working Papers 1611, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    19. Yvon Fauvel & Alain Paquet & Christian Zimmermann, 1999. "A Survey on Interest Rate Forecasting," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 87, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal.
    20. Cujean, Julien & Andrei, Daniel & Fournier, Mathieu, 2019. "The Low-Minus-High Portfolio and the Factor Zoo," CEPR Discussion Papers 14153, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jintdv:v:15:y:2003:i:8:p:1015-1036. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/5102/home .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.