A Disaggregated Structural Model of the Treasury Securities, Corporate Bond, and Equity Markets: Estimation and Simulation Results
The estimation and simulation results of a disaggregated structural model of u\U.S. security markets are presented in this paper. The model consists of estimated demands for corporate bonds, equities, and four distinct maturity classes of Treasury securities by 11 categories of investors. The model is closed with the addition of six market-clearing identities equating market demands with exogenous supplies. The empirical results provide support to the model's specification and indicate that the "within-sample forecasts" of the six endogenous security yields closely track historical data.
|Date of creation:||Dec 1980|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A.|
Web page: http://www.nber.org
More information through EDIRC
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Friedman, Benjamin M & Roley, V Vance, 1979. "Investors' Portfolio Behavior under Alternative Models of Long-Term Interest Rate Expectations: Unitary, Rational, or Autoregressive," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(6), pages 1475-97, November.
- Friedman, Benjamin Morton, 1977. "Financial Flow Variables and the Short-Run Determination of Long-Term Interest Rates," Scholarly Articles 4554309, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Roley, V Vance, 1980. "The Role of Commercial Banks' Portfolio Behavior in the Determination of Treasury Security Yields," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(2), pages 353-69, Special I.
- Backus, David, et al, 1980.
"A Model of U.S. Financial and Nonfinancial Economic Behavior,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(2), pages 259-93, Special I.
- David Backus & William C. Brainard & Gary Smith & James Tobin, 1980. "A Model of U.S. Financial and Nonfinancial Economic Behavior," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 548, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- V. Vance Roley, 1978. "Interest rate variability, the level of interest rates, and monetary policy," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Sep, pages 17-27.
- Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, 03.
- Brundy, James M & Jorgenson, Dale W, 1971. "Efficient Estimation of Simultaneous Equations by Instrumental Variables," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 53(3), pages 207-24, August.
- William L. Silber, 1969. "Portfolio Substitutability, Regulations, and Monetary Policy," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 83(2), pages 197-219.
- Benjamin M. Friedman & V. Vance Roley, 1979. "A Note on the Derivation of Linear Homogeneous Asset Demand Functions," NBER Working Papers 0345, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- James M. Brundy & Dale W. Jorgenson, 1971. "Efficient estimation of simultaneous equations by instrumental variables," Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory 3, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- J. Tobin, 1958.
"Liquidity Preference as Behavior Towards Risk,"
Review of Economic Studies,
Oxford University Press, vol. 25(2), pages 65-86.
- Friedman, Benjamin M, 1977. "Financial Flow Variables and the Short-Run Determination of Long-Term Interest Rates," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 85(4), pages 661-89, August.
- V. Vance Roley, 1978. "Federal debt management policy: a re-examination of the issues," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Feb, pages 14-23.
- Friedman, Benjamin M, 1979. "Substitution and Expectation Effects on Long-Term Borrowing Behavior and Long-Term Interest Rates," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 11(2), pages 131-50, May.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nbr:nberte:0007. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ()
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.