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Testing the Consumption-Capm in Developing Equity Markets

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Abstract

sta The Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model (C-CAPM) is tested using data on equity prices in Jordan, Turkey, and Pakistan over the period 1986-93. The analysis is carried out in two steps. The parameters of agents' dynamic consumption and investment decisions are first estimated, and then the implied equity market price (based on the model) is compared with the actual evolution of equity prices. The empirical results support the proposistion that equity price movements in Jordan, Turkey, and Pakistan are not consistent with the C-CAPM. In each of these developing equity markets, the variability of equity price indices could not be accounted for by information regarding future dividends alone, and the failure to reject the null hypothesis of no cointegration of the implied and actual equity price series is due to parameter instability.

Suggested Citation

  • Cashin, P. & McDermott, C. J., 1997. "Testing the Consumption-Capm in Developing Equity Markets," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 593, The University of Melbourne.
  • Handle: RePEc:mlb:wpaper:593
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    Cited by:

    1. Christopher J. Green & Victor Murinde, 2003. "Flow of funds: implications for research on financial sector development and the real economy," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(8), pages 1015-1036.
    2. Magda Kandil & Ida Mirzaie, 2006. "Consumption and macroeconomic policies: Theory and evidence from developing countries," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 469-491.
    3. Cashin, Paul & McDermott, C John, 2002. "Intertemporal Consumption Smoothing and Capital Mobility: Evidence from Australia," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 41(1), pages 82-98, March.
    4. Tam, Henry & Lai, Liona, 2009. "Explaining the equity premium in Hong Kong with C-CAPM: The use of emigration growth as an instrument," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 520-533, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ECONOMETRICS ; CONSUMPTION ; FINANCIAL MARKET;

    JEL classification:

    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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