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The casual nexus between child mortality rate, fertility rate, GDP, household final consumption expenditure, and food production index

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  • Samuel Asumadu-Sarkodie
  • Phebe Asantewaa Owusu

Abstract

In this study, the causal nexus between child mortality rate, fertility rate, GDP, household final consumption expenditure, and food production index in Ghana was investigated spanning from 1971 to 2013 using the Autoregressive and Distributed Lag (ARDL) method. The study tested for unit root, ARDL bounds cointegration test, ARDL long-run elasticities, Granger causality, and Variance Decomposition Analysis using Cholesky technique. There was evidence of long-run equilibrium relationship running from fertility rate, food production index, GDP, and household final consumption expenditure to the mortality rate. There was evidence of a bidirectional causality running from household final consumption expenditure to fertility rate. Evidence from the Variance Decomposition Analysis shows that, almost 6% of future fluctuations in mortality rate are due to shocks in the food production index, while 2% of future fluctuations in mortality rate are due to shocks in fertility rate. Evidence from the study shows that the increasing levels of social determinants like Gross Domestic Product and Household final consumption expenditure will help reduce child mortality rates in Ghana. In order to reduce child mortality rates among children under-5, infants and vulnerable in Ghana, there is the need to end hunger and ensure access to safe and nutritious food.

Suggested Citation

  • Samuel Asumadu-Sarkodie & Phebe Asantewaa Owusu, 2016. "The casual nexus between child mortality rate, fertility rate, GDP, household final consumption expenditure, and food production index," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1191985-119, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:4:y:2016:i:1:p:1191985
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2016.1191985
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    Cited by:

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    2. Ibinceanu Onica Mihaela Cristina & Cristache Nicoleta & Dobrea Răzvan Cătălin & Florescu Margareta, 2021. "Regional Development in Romania: Empirical Evidence Regarding the Factors for Measuring a Prosperous and Sustainable Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-19, April.
    3. Wen Jun & Junaid Waheed & Hadi Hussain & Ihsan Jamil & Denisa Borbášová & Muhammad Khalid Anser, 2020. "Working women and per capita household consumption expenditures; an untouched reality," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 38(1), pages 35-69.
    4. Saqib Amin & Nawaz Ahmad & Asim Iqbal & Ghulam Mustafa, 2021. "Asymmetric analysis of environment, ethnic diversity, and international trade nexus: empirical evidence from Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(8), pages 12527-12549, August.
    5. Ciprian MATIS, 2021. "A Study on the Quality of Insurance Services in Romania," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 1, pages 107-112.
    6. George Wak & Samuel Oladokun & Alfred Manye & Timothy Awine & Joyce Komesuor & Raymond Aborigo, 2025. "Effect of Household Dynamics on Infant Mortality in the Kassena_Nankana Districts of Rural Northern Ghana, 1999–2018," Child Indicators Research, Springer;The International Society of Child Indicators (ISCI), vol. 18(2), pages 735-752, April.
    7. Seyfettin Erdogan, 2022. "Investigating the effects of food production on sustainable development: The case of the upper middle‐income countries," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(4), pages 606-619, August.

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