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Threshold Effects on the Relationship Between Inflation Rate and Economic Growth in Tunisia

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  • Thouraya Boujelbène Dammak
  • Kamel Helali

Abstract

Using an econometric technique suggested by Hansen [(2001). The new econometrics of structural change: Dating breaks in U.S. Labor productivity. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15, 117–128], this paper studies the inflation–economic growth nexus in the case of Tunisia for the 1993-01–2012-11 period. The results show that there is one inflation threshold value that does exist for Tunisia. This evidence strongly sustains the view that the relationship between inflation rate and economic growth is non-linear. The estimated threshold regression model suggests that a threshold value of inflation rate below 3.48% fosters economic growth. In addition, above this threshold level, there is a statistically significant negative relationship between inflation rate and economic growth. These results have important implications to policy-makers who should pay attention to the inflation phenomena. Therefore, a new policy that takes into account such a threshold should be set up.

Suggested Citation

  • Thouraya Boujelbène Dammak & Kamel Helali, 2017. "Threshold Effects on the Relationship Between Inflation Rate and Economic Growth in Tunisia," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(2), pages 310-325, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:intecj:v:31:y:2017:i:2:p:310-325
    DOI: 10.1080/10168737.2017.1289546
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    2. Wissem Boukraine, 2020. "Inflation Dynamics in Tunisia: a Smooth Transition Autoregressive Approach," Economic Research Guardian, Mutascu Publishing, vol. 10(2), pages 122-143, December.
    3. Muhammad Azam & Saleem Khan, 2022. "Threshold effects in the relationship between inflation and economic growth: Further empirical evidence from the developed and developing world," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4224-4243, October.
    4. Amal Ben Abdallah & Sourour Guidara & Rima Aloulou & Maha Kalai & Kamel Helali, 2024. "Investigating the relationship between inflation and economic growth in Mauritania: an empirical analysis using the regime change model," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-25, January.
    5. Li, Baolin & Wang, Jia & Nassani, Abdelmohsen A. & Binsaeed, Rima H. & Li, Zeyun, 2023. "The future of Green energy: A panel study on the role of renewable resources in the transition to a Green economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).

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