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Is growth exogenous? Evidence from the 1970s and 1980s

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  • Alessandro Rebucci

Abstract

This article assesses the role of external and policy factors for growth variability. The mean group estimator is used to estimate a vector autoregressive system on a panel data set of eighteen developing economies from 1965 to 1992. The main findings are that (i) temporary external shocks are an important determinant of medium to long-run growth variability (ii) high inflation countries are more vulnerable to external shocks than others. This evidence is supportive of the conventional view that macro-economic stability is conducive to growth, and casts doubts on the idea that the growth process might be largely exogenous.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessandro Rebucci, 2010. "Is growth exogenous? Evidence from the 1970s and 1980s," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(5), pages 535-543.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:42:y:2010:i:5:p:535-543
    DOI: 10.1080/00036840701704410
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dornbusch, Rudiger, 1990. "Policies to Move from Stabilization to Growth," CEPR Discussion Papers 456, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
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    Cited by:

    1. Canova, Fabio & Ciccarelli, Matteo, 2013. "Panel vector autoregressive models: a survey," Working Paper Series 1507, European Central Bank.
    2. Rebucci, Alessandro, 2010. "Estimating VARs with long stationary heterogeneous panels: A comparison of the fixed effect and the mean group estimators," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 1183-1198, September.
    3. Ashima Goyal & Rajeswari Sengupta & Akhilesh Verma, 2019. "External debt financing and macroeconomic instability in emerging market economies," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2019-013, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.
    4. Choi, Woon Gyu & Kang, Taesu & Kim, Geun-Young & Lee, Byongju, 2017. "Global liquidity transmission to emerging market economies, and their policy responses," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 153-166.

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