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Budget deficits and interest rates: a fresh perspective

  • Ari Aisen
  • David Hauner

We extend the literature on budget deficits and interest rates in three ways: we examine both advanced and emerging economies and for the first time a large emerging market panel; explore interactions to explain some of the heterogeneity in the literature; and apply system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). There is overall a highly significant positive effect of budget deficits on interest rates, but the effect depends on interaction terms and is only significant under one of the several conditions: deficits are high, mostly domestically financed, or interact with high domestic debt; financial openness is low; interest rates are liberalized; or financial depth is low.

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/00036846.2012.667557
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Article provided by Taylor & Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics.

Volume (Year): 45 (2013)
Issue (Month): 17 (June)
Pages: 2501-2510

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Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:45:y:2013:i:17:p:2501-2510
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