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Trinity Strikes Back: Monetary Independence And Inflation In The Caribbean

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  • Serhan Cevik
  • Tianle Zhu

Abstract

Monetary independence is at the core of the macroeconomic policy trilemma. This study examines the relationship between monetary autonomy and inflation in Caribbean countries over the period 1980–2017. The empirical results show that greater monetary policy independence, measured as a country's ability to conduct its own monetary policy for domestic purposes independent of external monetary influences, leads to lower consumer price inflation. This relationship—robust to alternative specifications and estimation methodologies—has clear policy implications, especially for countries that maintain pegged exchange rates relative to the US dollar with a critical bearing on monetary autonomy. © 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Serhan Cevik & Tianle Zhu, 2020. "Trinity Strikes Back: Monetary Independence And Inflation In The Caribbean," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(3), pages 375-388, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jintdv:v:32:y:2020:i:3:p:375-388
    DOI: 10.1002/jid.3457
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    Cited by:

    1. Narayan, Seema & Cirikisuva, Salote & Naivutu, Revoni, 2023. "A hybrid NKPC inflation model for the small Island state of Fiji," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 873-886.
    2. Ogrokhina, Olena & Rodriguez, Cesar M., 2024. "Inflation targeting and capital flows: A tale of two cycles in developing countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    3. Mahir Binici & Samuele Centorrino & Serhan Cevik & Gyowon Gwon, 2024. "Here Comes the Change: The Role of Global and Domestic Factors in Post-Pandemic Inflation in Europe," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 20(2), pages 237-290, April.
    4. Serhan Cevik & Fedor Miryugin, 2025. "It’s Never Different: Fiscal Policy Shocks and Inflation," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 67(1), pages 186-220, March.
    5. Serhan Cevik, João Tovar Jalles, 2023. "Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth," Working Papers REM 2023/0276, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    6. Cevik Serhan & Jalles Joao, 2024. "Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 75(2), pages 109-138.

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