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The impact of climate change on economic output across industries in Chile

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  • Karla Hernandez
  • Carlos Madeira

Abstract

Using region-industry panel data for Chile over the period 1985 to 2017, we find no effect of precipitation changes on GDP and a negative impact of higher summer temperatures on Agriculture-Silviculture and Fishing. An increase of one Celsius degree in the month of January implies a 3% and 12% GDP reduction in Agriculture and Fishing, respectively. There is also a negative effect of higher temperatures in January on Construction and Electricity, Gas, and Water. Our analysis suggests that climate change did not have a big impact on the Chilean economy during this period. Stress test exercises that select only the negative and statistically significant coefficients imply that the Chilean GDP would fall between -14.8% and -9% in 2050 and between -29.6% and -16.8% in 2100, according to our model.

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  • Karla Hernandez & Carlos Madeira, 2022. "The impact of climate change on economic output across industries in Chile," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(4), pages 1-21, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:plo:pone00:0266811
    DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0266811
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    Cited by:

    1. Stephan Dietrich & Stafford Nichols, 2025. "More than a feeling: A global economic valuation of subjective wellbeing damages resulting from rising temperatures," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(2), pages 1-22, February.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O44 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Environment and Growth
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q59 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Other
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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