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Do Capital Flows Matter to Stock and House Prices? Evidence from China

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  • Ling Feng
  • Ching-Yi Lin
  • Chun Wang

Abstract

This article analyzes the impacts of foreign direct investment (FDI) and short-term capital flows, otherwise known as hot money, on stock and house prices in China. Empirical results, estimated using the local projections approach, reveal that a positive hot money net inflow shock significantly increases stock and house prices and the impacts persist for up to 1–2 months, while a positive FDI net inflow shock contributes significantly to lagged house price appreciation but has no effect on stock prices. This study also identifies negative pass-through effects of FDI net inflows on hot money net inflows and positive pass-through effects of stock prices on house prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Ling Feng & Ching-Yi Lin & Chun Wang, 2017. "Do Capital Flows Matter to Stock and House Prices? Evidence from China," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(10), pages 2215-2232, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:53:y:2017:i:10:p:2215-2232
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2016.1180283
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    Cited by:

    1. Hernández Vega Marco A., 2019. "How Relevant are Capital Flows for House Prices in Emerging Economies?," Working Papers 2019-19, Banco de México.
    2. Zhang, Yihao & Chen, Fang & Huang, Jian & Shenoy, Catherine, 2019. "Hot money flows and production uncertainty: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    3. Md. Qamruzzaman & Ananda Bardhan & Summatun Nasya, 2020. "Nexus between Remittance, Nonperforming Loan, Money Supply, and Financial Volatility: An Application of ARDL," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 8(1), pages 11-29.
    4. Boubekeur Baba & Guven Sevil, 2020. "The behavior of stock market prices throughout the episodes of capital inflows," Papers 2008.13472, arXiv.org.
    5. Yang Zhou, 2022. "The Effects of Capital Controls on Housing Prices," Discussion Paper Series DP2022-29, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.

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