Indicators of electoral victory
We study a two-party contest where candidates strategically allocate their campaign resources between two salient issues. We analyze to what extent the following indicators of a party's success predict the electoral victory: (1) the pre-campaign advantage, (2) the advantage on every salient issue, and (3) the advantage on campaign resources. We show that the electoral victory is guaranteed only when a party has a "sufficiently large" advantage on every salient issue. Otherwise no combination of these indicators ensures the electoral victory.
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Volume (Year): 144 (2010)
Issue (Month): 1 (July)
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References listed on IDEAS
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- Laffond, G. & Laine, J., 2006.
"Single-switch preferences and the Ostrogorski paradox,"
Mathematical Social Sciences,
Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 49-66, July.
- G. Laffond & Jean Lainé, 2006. "Single-switch preferences and the Ostrogorski paradox," Post-Print halshs-00107961, HAL.
- AMOROS, Pablo & PUY, M. Socorro, 2007. "Dialogue or issue divergence in the political campaign?," CORE Discussion Papers 2007084, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE). Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)