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Modeling the Impact of Market Interventions on the Strategic Evolution of Electricity Markets

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  • Derek W. Bunn

    (Management Science and Operations, London Business School, Regent's Park, NW1 4SA, London, United Kingdom)

  • Fernando S. Oliveira

    (Operational Management Department, ESSEC Business School, 95021 Cergy-Pontoise, France)

Abstract

This paper presents a large-scale computationally intensive model for understanding the dynamic strategic evolution of electricity-generating asset portfolios in response to various market interventions, and the consequent longer-term effects of such changes on market structure and prices. We formulate a multistage model involving a Cournot representation of the wholesale electricity market, the performance of which then determines plant trading between players and the coevolution of market structure. An algorithm to model this game is presented. We apply this model to the full England and Wales system, as it was in 2000, and simulate the strategic responses to divestiture, capacity targets, and the two market mechanism variants of pool and bilateral market clearing.

Suggested Citation

  • Derek W. Bunn & Fernando S. Oliveira, 2008. "Modeling the Impact of Market Interventions on the Strategic Evolution of Electricity Markets," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 56(5), pages 1116-1130, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:56:y:2008:i:5:p:1116-1130
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.1080.0565
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Hach, Daniel & Chyong, Chi Kong & Spinler, Stefan, 2016. "Capacity market design options: A dynamic capacity investment model and a GB case study," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 249(2), pages 691-705.
    2. S. Oliveira, Fernando & William-Rioux, Bertrand & Pierru, Axel, 2023. "Capacity expansion in liberalized electricity markets with locational pricing and renewable energy investments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    3. Bhagwat, Pradyumna C. & Marcheselli, Anna & Richstein, Jörn C. & Chappin, Emile J.L. & De Vries, Laurens J., 2017. "An analysis of a forward capacity market with long-term contracts," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 255-267.
    4. Yang, Liu & Dong, Ciwei & Wan, C.L. Johnny & Ng, Chi To, 2013. "Electricity time-of-use tariff with consumer behavior consideration," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 402-410.
    5. Oliveira, Fernando S. & Costa, Manuel L.G., 2018. "Capacity expansion under uncertainty in an oligopoly using indirect reinforcement-learning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 267(3), pages 1039-1050.
    6. Daniel Hach & Stefan Spinler, 2018. "Robustness of capacity markets: a stochastic dynamic capacity investment model," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 40(2), pages 517-540, March.
    7. Lin-Ju Chen & Lei Zhu & Ying Fan & Sheng-Hua Cai, 2013. "Long-Term Impacts of Carbon Tax and Feed-in Tariff Policies on China's Generating Portfolio and Carbon Emissions: A Multi-Agent-Based Analysis," Energy & Environment, , vol. 24(7-8), pages 1271-1293, December.
    8. Gülpınar, N. & Oliveira, F.S., 2012. "Robust trading in spot and forward oligopolistic markets," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 35-45.
    9. Kimbrough, Steven O. & Murphy, Frederic H., 2013. "Strategic bidding of offer curves: An agent-based approach to exploring supply curve equilibria," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 229(1), pages 165-178.
    10. Hagspiel, Simeon, 2018. "Reliability with interdependent suppliers," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 268(1), pages 161-173.
    11. Oliveira, Fernando S., 2010. "Limitations of learning in automata-based systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 203(3), pages 684-691, June.
    12. N. Gülpınar & F. Oliveira, 2014. "Analysis of relationship between forward and spot markets in oligopolies under demand and cost uncertainties," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 11(3), pages 267-283, July.
    13. Bunn, Derek W. & Oliveira, Fernando S., 2016. "Dynamic capacity planning using strategic slack valuation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 253(1), pages 40-50.
    14. Bhagwat, Pradyumna C. & Marcheselli, Anna & Richstein, Jörn C. & Chappin, Emile J. L. & Vries, Laurens J. De, 2017. "An analysis of a forward capacity market with long-term contracts," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 111, pages 255-267.

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