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Does long-run purchasing power parity hold in Eastern and Southern African countries? Evidence from panel data stationary tests with multiple structural breaks

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  • Jean-Francois Hoarau

    (CERESUR, University of La Reunion, France)

Abstract

This study tests for the long-run purchasing power parity hypothesis for a panel of 17 African economies, all belonging to the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa, over the period 1970-2007. This assumption is considered both in its traditional view, that is, the reversion of the real exchange rate (RER) to a constant mean, and in the Balassa-Samuelson view, that is, the reversion of the RER to a constant trend. For this purpose, we use the new panel data stationary test advocated by Carrion-i-Silvestre et al. that accounts for multiple structural breaks and cross-sectional dependence. Finally, our results give strong evidence for purchasing power parity when the Balassa-Samuelson version is considered. This finding supports the view that purchasing power parity is most likely to be found among high inflation less developed countries and non-CFA countries. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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  • Jean-Francois Hoarau, 2010. "Does long-run purchasing power parity hold in Eastern and Southern African countries? Evidence from panel data stationary tests with multiple structural breaks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(4), pages 307-315.
    • Handle: RePEc:ijf:ijfiec:v:15:y:2010:i:4:p:307-315
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.404
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    2. E. N. Gyamfi & E. F. Appiah, 2019. "Further evidence on the validity of purchasing power parity in selected African countries," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(2), pages 330-343, April.
    3. Fabien Candau & Michaël Goujon & Jean-François Hoarau & Serge Rey, 2014. "Real exchange rate and competitiveness of an EU's ultra-peripheral region: La Reunion Island," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 137, pages 1-21.
    4. Saint Kuttu, 2018. "Asymmetric mean reversion and volatility in African real exchange rates," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 42(3), pages 575-590, July.
    5. Gómez Aguirre Mario & Rodríguez Chávez José Carlos, 2013. "El efecto Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson. El caso de México," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 58(3), pages 121-147, julio-sep.
    6. Mario Gómez Aguirre & José Carlos A. Rodríguez Chávez, 2012. "Análisis de la paridad del poder de compra: evidencia empírica entre México y Estados Unidos," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 27(1), pages 169-207.

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