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Arbeitsmarkt und demografischer Wandel: Anpassungsprozesse machen dauerhaften Fachkräftemangel unwahrscheinlich

Author

Listed:
  • Brunow, Stephan

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Garloff, Alfred

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

Abstract

"Die Bevölkerung Deutschlands wird in den kommenden Jahren schrumpfen und altern. Das Verhältnis zwischen der Nachfrage nach und dem Angebot an qualifizierten Arbeitskräften wird sich voraussichtlich zugunsten des Arbeitskräfteangebots verschieben. Trotzdem wird es einen allein demografisch verursachten Mangel an qualifizierten Arbeitskräften kaum geben, weil die Löhne auf lange Sicht nach oben hin ausreichend flexibel sind, um Marktveränderungsprozesse auszugleichen. Die Verknappung qualifizierter Arbeitskräfte dürfte mit steigenden Löhnen einhergehen." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

Suggested Citation

  • Brunow, Stephan & Garloff, Alfred, 2011. "Arbeitsmarkt und demografischer Wandel: Anpassungsprozesse machen dauerhaften Fachkräftemangel unwahrscheinlich," IAB-Forum, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 2011(2), pages 92-97.
    • Handle: RePEc:iab:iabfor:v:2011:i:2:p:092-097
    DOI: 10.3278/IFO1102W092
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christian Dustmann & Johannes Ludsteck & Uta Schönberg, 2009. "Revisiting the German Wage Structure," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 124(2), pages 843-881.
    2. Thomas Beissinger & Chritoph Knoppik, 2005. "Sind Nominallöhne starr? Neuere Evidenz und wirtschaftspolitische Implikationen," Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 6(2), pages 171-188, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Brunow, Stephan & Gundert, Stefanie & Kubis, Alexander, 2014. "Fachkräfteengpässe und atypische Beschäftigung: Das eine schließt das andere nicht aus," IAB-Forum, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 2014(1), pages 76-83.
    2. Brunow, Stephan & Möller, Joachim & Stegmaier, Jens, 2012. "Dynamiken des Fachkräftebedarfs: Die Kräfte des Marktes wirken Engpässen langfristig entgegen (The dynamics of the requirement for qualified professionals : In the long run, the forces of the market will counteract labour shortages)," IAB-Forum, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 2012(2), pages 4-9.
    3. Brunow, Stephan & Fuchs, Michaela & Weyh, Antje, 2012. "Messinstrumente im Test: Wie zuverlässig lässt sich Fachkräftemangel bestimmen?," IAB-Forum, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany], vol. 2012(2), pages 10-15.

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