IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v17y2025i17p7851-d1738762.html

The Impact of High-Quality Development of Foreign Trade on Marine Economic Quality: Empirical Evidence from Coastal Provinces and Cities in China

Author

Listed:
  • Linsen Zhu

    (Beibu Gulf Ocean Development Research Center, Beibu Gulf University, Qinzhou 535011, China
    The School of Economics and Management, Beibu Gulf University, Qinzhou 535011, China)

  • Yan Li

    (The School of Economics and Management, Beibu Gulf University, Qinzhou 535011, China)

  • Lei Suo

    (Beibu Gulf Ocean Development Research Center, Beibu Gulf University, Qinzhou 535011, China
    The School of Economics and Management, Beibu Gulf University, Qinzhou 535011, China)

  • Haiying Feng

    (Beibu Gulf Ocean Development Research Center, Beibu Gulf University, Qinzhou 535011, China)

Abstract

Against the backdrop of a complex global economic landscape, foreign trade serves as a critical link integrating China’s marine economy with the global market, playing an indispensable role in advancing high-quality marine economic development in China and realizing the strategic goal of building a strong maritime nation. Utilizing panel data covering 11 coastal provinces and municipalities in China from 2013 to 2022, this research adopts a double machine learning approach to examine the effects and mechanisms through which the high-quality development of foreign trade (HQD) shapes high-quality marine economic development (THQ) in China. The empirical results demonstrate that (1) high-quality development of foreign trade significantly promotes high-quality marine economic development in China, with a 1-unit increase in the former corresponding to a 1.437-unit rise in the latter. This finding withstands multiple robustness checks. (2) Mechanism analysis indicates that this promotion occurs through three channels: strengthening marine environmental regulation, enhancing marine labor productivity, and upgrading the marine industrial structure. (3) Heterogeneity analysis shows that the effect of high-quality foreign trade is stronger in China’s eastern marine economic region. Simultaneously, the trade development environment emerges as a key factor exerting a significantly positive influence on marine economic quality during China’s foreign trade advancement. The empirical findings propose the following optimization countermeasures for high-quality marine economic development: strengthening marine environmental regulation, enhancing marine labor productivity, and promoting the upgrading of the marine industrial structure.

Suggested Citation

  • Linsen Zhu & Yan Li & Lei Suo & Haiying Feng, 2025. "The Impact of High-Quality Development of Foreign Trade on Marine Economic Quality: Empirical Evidence from Coastal Provinces and Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-29, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:17:p:7851-:d:1738762
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/17/7851/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/17/7851/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Vani Archana, 2020. "Who will win from the trade war? Analysis of the US–China trade war from a micro perspective," China Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 376-393, September.
    2. Hidekatsu Asada, 2020. "Effects of Foreign Direct Investment and Trade on Labor Productivity Growth in Vietnam," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-11, September.
    3. Wenhan Ren & Yu Chen, 2022. "Realizing the Improvement of Green Total Factor Productivity of the Marine Economy—New Evidence from China’s Coastal Areas," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(14), pages 1-22, July.
    4. M. Shahe Emran & Zhaoyang Hou, 2013. "Access to Markets and Rural Poverty: Evidence from Household Consumption in China," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 95(2), pages 682-697, May.
    5. Jonathan Brogaard & Terrence Hendershott & Ryan Riordan, 2014. "High-Frequency Trading and Price Discovery," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(8), pages 2267-2306.
    6. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey & James Robins, 2018. "Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 21(1), pages 1-68, February.
    7. Lanting Zhang & Zilin Xu & Yifan Chen & Zhe Liu & Huijuan Yu, 2024. "Impact of Environmental Regulation on the Resilience of Marine Economy: A Case Study of 11 Coastal Provinces and Cities in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-21, September.
    8. Fei Wang & Linwei Ye, 2023. "Digital Transformation and Export Quality of Chinese Products: An Analysis Based on Innovation Efficiency and Total Factor Productivity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-20, March.
    9. Bommer, Rolf & Schulze, Gunther G., 1999. "Environmental improvement with trade liberalization," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 639-661, November.
    10. Rossella Bardazzi & Leonardo Ghezzi, 2018. "Trade, competitiveness and investment: an empirical assessment," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 497-520, October.
    11. Linarello, Andrea, 2018. "Direct and indirect effects of trade liberalization: Evidence from Chile," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 160-175.
    12. Joshua D. Angrist & Jörn-Steffen Pischke, 2009. "Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 8769, December.
    13. Rajeev H. Dehejia & Sadek Wahba, 2002. "Propensity Score-Matching Methods For Nonexperimental Causal Studies," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 84(1), pages 151-161, February.
    14. Jane Lubchenco & Peter M. Haugan & Mari Elka Pangestu, 2020. "Five priorities for a sustainable ocean economy," Nature, Nature, vol. 588(7836), pages 30-32, December.
    15. Kashiha, Mona & Thill, Jean-Claude & Depken, Craig A., 2016. "Shipping route choice across geographies: Coastal vs. landlocked countries," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 1-14.
    16. Marc J. Melitz, 2003. "The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(6), pages 1695-1725, November.
    17. Dongqing Han & Zhengxu Cao, 2024. "An Evaluation and Difference Analysis of the High-Quality Development of China’s Marine Economy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-18, January.
    18. Gerassimos Bertsatos & Nicholas Tsounis, 2024. "Differences in Total Factor Productivity and the Pattern of International Trade," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-19, April.
    19. Zhaoyuan Shi & Desheng Xue & Jili Xu, 2025. "Global Marine Product Space and Coastal Countries’ Productive Capabilities, 1995–2021," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-20, February.
    20. Ying Zhang & Xuemei Li, 2024. "Digital Economy, Marine Industrial Structure Upgrading, and the High-Quality Development of Marine Economy Based on the Static and Dynamic Spatial Durbin Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(22), pages 1-24, November.
    21. David C. Maré & Richard Fabling & Steven Stillman, 2014. "Innovation and the local workforce," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 93(1), pages 183-201, March.
    22. Helmut Farbmacher & Martin Huber & Lukáš Lafférs & Henrika Langen & Martin Spindler, 2022. "Causal mediation analysis with double machine learning [Mediation analysis via potential outcomes models]," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 25(2), pages 277-300.
    23. Hong Li & Qian Yang & Zhuokai Shen, 2025. "A competitiveness analysis of Guangxi Beibu Gulf Port Group based on the entropy TOPSIS method," Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(2), pages 191-208, April.
    24. Barro, Robert J, 1990. "Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 103-126, October.
    25. Jikun Jiang & Shenglai Zhu & Weihao Wang, 2022. "Carbon Emissions, Economic Growth, Urbanization, and Foreign Trade in China: Empirical Evidence from ARDL Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-15, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Cavanagh,Jack & Fliegner,Jasmin Claire & Kopper,Sarah & Sautmann,Anja, 2023. "A Metadata Schema for Data from Experiments in the Social Sciences," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10296, The World Bank.
    2. Oliveira, Rodrigo & Moura, Klebson & Viana, Jorge & Tigre, Robson & Sampaio, Breno, 2015. "Commute duration and health: Empirical evidence from Brazil," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 62-75.
    3. Jose Luis Castillo Mezarina, 2021. "The impact of free trade agreements in national markets: Evidence from the telecommunications sector in Latin America," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(4), pages 860-903, September.
    4. Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C. & Zhao, Jun, 2020. "Doubly robust difference-in-differences estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 101-122.
    5. Jonathan Fuhr & Philipp Berens & Dominik Papies, 2024. "Estimating Causal Effects with Double Machine Learning -- A Method Evaluation," Papers 2403.14385, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2024.
    6. Ellison, Richard B. & Ellison, Adrian B. & Greaves, Stephen P. & Sampaio, Breno, 2017. "Electronic ticketing systems as a mechanism for travel behaviour change? Evidence from Sydney’s Opal card," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 80-93.
    7. Bahar, Dany & Rosenow, Samuel & Stein, Ernesto & Wagner, Rodrigo, 2019. "Export take-offs and acceleration: Unpacking cross-sector linkages in the evolution of comparative advantage," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 48-60.
    8. Arne Henningsen & Guy Low & David Wuepper & Tobias Dalhaus & Hugo Storm & Dagim Belay & Stefan Hirsch, 2026. "Estimating Causal Effects With Observational Data: Guidelines for Agricultural and Applied Economists," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 77(2), pages 356-382, June.
    9. Fernandes, Ana P. & Duanmu, Jing-Lin, 2025. "Foreign banks and firms’ export dynamics: Evidence from China’s banking reform," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    10. Chang, Zhenghao & Zhou, Hang & Ruan, Mengyu & Li, Qin, 2025. "When major customers matter: customer concentration and ESG rating disagreement," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3).
    11. Yechan Park & Yuya Sasaki, 2024. "Matching $\leq$ Hybrid $\leq$ Difference in Differences," Papers 2411.07952, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2025.
    12. Patricia Augier & Olivier Cadot & Marion Dovis, 2013. "Imports and TFP at the firm level: the role of absorptive capacity," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(3), pages 956-981, August.
    13. Alfons Palangkaraya, 2013. "On the Relationship between Innovation and Export: The Case of Australian SMEs," Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series wp2013n04, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
    14. Tarsia, Romano, 2024. "Heterogeneous effects of weather shocks on firm economic performance," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 124251, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    15. Alloush, Mo & Bloem, Jeffrey R., 2022. "Neighborhood violence, poverty, and psychological well-being," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    16. Nguyen Quoc Hung, 2020. "Financial deepening in a two-sector endogenous growth model with productivity heterogeneity," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 1-19, January.
    17. Michael Lechner, 2023. "Causal Machine Learning and its use for public policy," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 159(1), pages 1-15, December.
    18. Siewers, Samuel & Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada & Baghdadi, Leila, 2024. "Global value chains and firms’ environmental performance," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    19. Candon, David, 2018. "The effect of cancer on the labor supply of employed men over the age of 65," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 184-199.
    20. Philippe Martin & Thierry Mayer & Mathias Thoenig, 2012. "The Geography of Conflicts and Regional Trade Agreements," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(4), pages 1-35, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:17:p:7851-:d:1738762. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask MDPI Indexing Manager to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.