IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v11y2022i9p1439-d902845.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Exploring the Spillover Effects of Urban Renewal on Local House Prices Using Multi-Source Data and Machine Learning: The Case of Shenzhen, China

Author

Listed:
  • Xiaojun Li

    (Guangzhou Urban Planning & Design Survey Research Institute, Guangzhou 510060, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Jieyu Wang

    (Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Urbanization and Geo-Simulation, School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China
    These authors contributed equally to this work.)

  • Ke Luo

    (Guangzhou Urban Planning & Design Survey Research Institute, Guangzhou 510060, China)

  • Yuanling Liang

    (Guangzhou Urban Planning & Design Survey Research Institute, Guangzhou 510060, China)

  • Shaojian Wang

    (Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Urbanization and Geo-Simulation, School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China)

Abstract

Urban renewal is a current hotspot for research in the field of urban geography and urban planning. However, few studies have been able to quantify the impact of urban renewal on local house prices. Taking Shenzhen as an example, this paper measures the added premium effect of urban renewal on local house prices through econometric models and multi-source data and explores the spillover effect of urban renewal on house prices using an integrated model based on machine learning and Geo-detector analysis. The main findings are: (1) Shenzhen’s urban renewal had a significant positive premium effect on the unit transaction price of local housing. (2) The population characteristics and the accessibility to transport in the context of urban renewal are the main drivers for premiums on house prices. (3) There is spatial heterogeneity with respect to the housing premium effect due to urban renewal, among which optimization of the density of the road network is most closely associated with the premium effects. The interaction of the road density network and the population density of particular streets drives the medium premium effect. Our findings have important implications for refinements in management practices for urban renewal in the context of the housing market.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaojun Li & Jieyu Wang & Ke Luo & Yuanling Liang & Shaojian Wang, 2022. "Exploring the Spillover Effects of Urban Renewal on Local House Prices Using Multi-Source Data and Machine Learning: The Case of Shenzhen, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-16, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:11:y:2022:i:9:p:1439-:d:902845
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/9/1439/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/9/1439/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gabriel M. Ahlfeldt & Wolfgang Maennig & Felix J. Richter, 2017. "Urban renewal after the Berlin Wall: a place-based policy evaluation," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 17(1), pages 129-156.
    2. Sylvain Chareyron & Florence Goffette-Nagot & Lucie Letrouit, 2019. "Impacts of a French urban renewal program on local housing markets," Post-Print halshs-02353718, HAL.
    3. Ernesto Lopez‐Morales, 2011. "Gentrification by Ground Rent Dispossession: The Shadows Cast by Large‐Scale Urban Renewal in Santiago de Chile," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 330-357, March.
    4. Ooi, Joseph T.L. & Le, Thao T.T., 2013. "The spillover effects of infill developments on local housing prices," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(6), pages 850-861.
    5. Carolyn A. Dehring & Craig A. Depken & Michael R. Ward, 2007. "The Impact Of Stadium Announcements On Residential Property Values: Evidence From A Natural Experiment In Dallas‐Fort Worth," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 25(4), pages 627-638, October.
    6. Hugo Priemus, 2004. "Housing and New Urban Renewal: Current Policies in the Netherlands," European Journal of Housing Policy, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 229-246.
    7. Albanese, Giuseppe & Ciani, Emanuele & de Blasio, Guido, 2021. "Anything new in town? The local effects of urban regeneration policies in Italy," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    8. K. Chau & S. Wong, 2014. "Externalities of Urban Renewal: A Real Option Perspective," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 546-560, April.
    9. James J. Heckman & Hidehiko Ichimura & Petra E. Todd, 1997. "Matching As An Econometric Evaluation Estimator: Evidence from Evaluating a Job Training Programme," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 64(4), pages 605-654.
    10. Du, Xuejun & Huang, Zhonghua, 2018. "Spatial and temporal effects of urban wetlands on housing prices: Evidence from Hangzhou, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 290-298.
    11. Wadu Mesthrige Jayantha & Esther Hiu Kwan Yung, 2018. "Effect of Revitalisation of Historic Buildings on Retail Shop Values in Urban Renewal: An Empirical Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-18, May.
    12. Georgios Kavetsos, 2012. "The Impact of the London Olympics Announcement on Property Prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 49(7), pages 1453-1470, May.
    13. Zahirovich-Herbert, Velma & Gibler, Karen M., 2014. "The effect of new residential construction on housing prices," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 1-18.
    14. James J. Heckman & Hidehiko Ichimura & Petra Todd, 1998. "Matching As An Econometric Evaluation Estimator," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 65(2), pages 261-294.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xiu-Juan Qiao & Yizhi Liu & Jing Feng, 2022. "Evaluating the Landscape Quality of Residential Communities: A Case Study of the Chinese City Yangling," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Brunes, Fredrik & Hermansson, Cecilia & Song, Han-Suck & Wilhelmsson, Mats, 2016. "NIMBYs for the rich and YIMBYs for the poor: Analyzing the property price effects of infill development," Working Paper Series 16/2, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
    2. Chun-Chang Lee & Chih-Min Liang & Cheng-Huang Tung & Yu-Jian Lu, 2018. "The Impact of Luxury Housing on Neighborhood Housing Prices in Taipei City," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(10), pages 1211-1225, October.
    3. González-Pampillón, Nicolás, 2022. "Spillover effects from new housing supply," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112932, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. González-Pampillón, Nicolás, 2022. "Spillover effects from new housing supply," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    5. Andrea Pufahl & Christoph R. Weiss, 2009. "Evaluating the effects of farm programmes: results from propensity score matching," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 36(1), pages 79-101, March.
    6. Dettmann, E. & Becker, C. & Schmeißer, C., 2011. "Distance functions for matching in small samples," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(5), pages 1942-1960, May.
    7. Agnes Quisumbing & Neha Kumar, 2011. "Does social capital build women's assets? The long-term impacts of group-based and individual dissemination of agricultural technology in Bangladesh," Journal of Development Effectiveness, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(2), pages 220-242.
    8. Cameron Truong, 2013. "The January effect, does options trading matter?," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 38(1), pages 31-48, April.
    9. Ichimura, Hidehiko & Todd, Petra E., 2007. "Implementing Nonparametric and Semiparametric Estimators," Handbook of Econometrics, in: J.J. Heckman & E.E. Leamer (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 6, chapter 74, Elsevier.
    10. Olivier Dagnelie & Philippe Lemay‐Boucher, 2012. "Rosca Participation in Benin: A Commitment Issue," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 74(2), pages 235-252, April.
    11. John Bound & Michael F. Lovenheim & Sarah Turner, 2010. "Why Have College Completion Rates Declined? An Analysis of Changing Student Preparation and Collegiate Resources," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(3), pages 129-157, July.
    12. Daniel Gilligan & John Hoddinott & Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse, 2009. "The Impact of Ethiopia's Productive Safety Net Programme and its Linkages," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(10), pages 1684-1706.
    13. Jonathan Colmer & Ralf Martin & Mirabelle Muûls & Ulrich J. Wagner, 2020. "Does pricing carbon mitigate climate change? Firm-level evidence from the European Union emissions trading scheme," CEP Discussion Papers dp1728, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    14. Torsten Persson & Guido Tabellini & Francesco Trebbi, 2003. "Electoral Rules and Corruption," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 1(4), pages 958-989, June.
    15. Francesco Vona & Giovanni Marin & Davide Consoli, 2019. "Measures, drivers and effects of green employment: evidence from US local labor markets, 2006–2014," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(5), pages 1021-1048.
    16. Deininger, Klaus & Hoogeveen, Hans & Kinsey, Bill H., 2004. "Economic Benefits and Costs of Land Redistribution in Zimbabwe in the Early 1980s," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 32(10), pages 1697-1709, October.
    17. Barbara Sianesi, 2002. "Swedish active labour market programmes in the 1990s: overall effectiveness and differential performance," IFS Working Papers W02/03, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    18. Slottje, Daniel J. & Millimet, Daniel L. & Buchanan, Michael J., 2007. "Econometric analysis of copyrights," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 139(2), pages 303-317, August.
    19. Islam, Asadul & Nguyen, Chau & Smyth, Russell, 2015. "Does microfinance change informal lending in village economies? Evidence from Bangladesh," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 141-156.
    20. Ramírez-Álvarez, Aurora Alejandra, 2019. "Land titling and its effect on the allocation of public goods: Evidence from Mexico," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 1-1.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:11:y:2022:i:9:p:1439-:d:902845. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.