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China’s Electric Vehicle Deployment: Energy and Greenhouse Gas Emission Impacts

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  • Feiqi Liu

    (State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
    Tsinghua Automotive Strategy Research Institute, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

  • Fuquan Zhao

    (State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
    Tsinghua Automotive Strategy Research Institute, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

  • Zongwei Liu

    (State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
    Tsinghua Automotive Strategy Research Institute, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

  • Han Hao

    (State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
    Tsinghua Automotive Strategy Research Institute, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
    China Automotive Energy Research Center, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China)

Abstract

The explosion of the vehicle market in China has caused a series of problems, like energy security, climate change, air pollution, etc. The deployment of electric vehicles (EVs) is considered an effective solution to address these problems. Thus, both the state and local governments in China have launched some policies and incentives to accelerate the development of EVs and the EV industry. Do EVs can effectively solve these problems in short term, viewed from the fleet point? Based on China’s most up-to-date deployment plan for EVs, this paper analyzes the energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions caused by China’s road transport sector in three different scenarios. The results indicate that, based on current planning, the energy consumption and GHG emissions of the whole fleet will peak in 2025 and 2027, at the level of around 403 mtoe (million tons of oil equivalent) and 1763 mt CO 2 eq. (million tons of CO 2 equivalent), respectively. The introduction of EVs will significantly reduce the reliance on fossil fuel in the long term, with increasing ownership, while, in the short term, the fuel economy regulation will still play a more important role. Policy makers should continually pay attention to this. Meanwhile, commercial vehicles, especially heavy-duty trucks will account for a bigger and bigger proportion in the energy consumption and GHG emissions of the whole fleet. Thus, to some extent the focus should shift from passenger vehicles to commercial vehicles. More measures could be implemented.

Suggested Citation

  • Feiqi Liu & Fuquan Zhao & Zongwei Liu & Han Hao, 2018. "China’s Electric Vehicle Deployment: Energy and Greenhouse Gas Emission Impacts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-19, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:12:p:3353-:d:186827
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    5. Li, Xiang & Yan, Xiaoyu, 2024. "Fast penetration of electric vehicles in China cannot achieve steep cuts in air emissions from road transport without synchronized renewable electricity expansion," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    6. Xiaotong Ma & Yingjie Li & Yi Qian & Zeyan Wang, 2019. "A Carbide Slag-Based, Ca 12 Al 14 O 33 -Stabilized Sorbent Prepared by the Hydrothermal Template Method Enabling Efficient CO 2 Capture," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-17, July.
    7. Baodi Zhang & Fuyuan Yang & Lan Teng & Minggao Ouyang & Kunfang Guo & Weifeng Li & Jiuyu Du, 2019. "Comparative Analysis of Technical Route and Market Development for Light-Duty PHEV in China and the US," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-23, September.

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