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Macroeconomic Dynamics in Korea during and after the Global Financial Crisis: A Bayesian DSGE Approach

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  • Kang, Hyunju
  • Suh, Hyunduk

Abstract

We estimate a medium-scale DSGE model, including a financial accelerator and the search and matching framework in labor markets, for the Korean economy, using the Bayesian technique. The estimated model shows that the recent sluggishness in GDP growth can be explained by slow technology growth, and the decline in CPI inflation is affected by a falling markup in domestic homogeneous goods production and a negative intertemporal consumption preference. Although wages, unemployment, and total labor hours are influenced by various factors, households' weak bargaining power causes a slow recovery in wages, while pushing the unemployment rate down. There was also a spillover from non-big-5 to big-5 firms during the global financial crisis, while monetary and fiscal policy has been mostly conservative in the post-crisis period.

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  • Kang, Hyunju & Suh, Hyunduk, 2017. "Macroeconomic Dynamics in Korea during and after the Global Financial Crisis: A Bayesian DSGE Approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 386-421.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:49:y:2017:i:c:p:386-421
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2017.02.008
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    Cited by:

    1. Khamis Hamed Al-Yahyaee & Walid Mensi & Hee-Un Ko & Massimiliano Caporin & Sang Hoon Kang, 2021. "Is the Korean housing market following Gangnam style?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(4), pages 2041-2072, October.
    2. Xingong Ding & Yong-Jae Choi, 2023. "Macroeconomic Effects of Maritime Transport Costs Shocks: Evidence from the South Korean Economy," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-26, August.
    3. Yugang He, 2022. "Home Production: Does It Matter for the Korean Macroeconomy during the COVID-19 Pandemic?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-12, June.
    4. Yugang He & Zhuoqi Teng, 2024. "Navigating Uncharted Waters: The Transformation of the Bank of Korea’s Monetary Policy in Response to Global Economic Uncertainty," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-24, May.
    5. Yao Li & Yugang He & Renhong Wu, 2023. "Traversing the Macroeconomic Terrain: An Exploration of South Korea’s Economic Responsiveness to Cross-Border E-Commerce Production Technology Alterations in the Global Arena," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-20, July.
    6. Yugang He & Sungho Rho, 2024. "Macroeconomic Stabilization in Crisis: The Role of Investment Shocks and Policy Responses in South Korea During COVID-19," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-23, December.
    7. Bhavesh Garg, 2023. "Effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal Policy in Mitigating Pandemic-Induced Macroeconomic Impacts," Working Papers DP-2023-20, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    8. Hwang, So Jung & Suh, Hyunduk, 2021. "Overall and time-varying effects of global and domestic uncertainty on the Korean economy," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • C5 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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