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The short- and long-run effects of remote work on U.S. housing markets

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  • Howard, Greg
  • Liebersohn, Jack
  • Ozimek, Adam

Abstract

Remote work has increased the demand for housing and changed the demand for the location of that housing. Because housing supply is heterogeneous across space and more elastic in the long-run, the effects on rents and populations may differ over time. We use the lens of a spatial housing model with heterogeneous housing supply elasticities to identify the housing and location demand changes from 2020–2022, and show that the same shocks will have different effects in the long run. Even though rents and prices increased significantly in the short-run, we estimate that in the long-run, increased housing demand will increase rents by only 1.8 percentage points, and that changing location demand will decrease rents by 0.3 percentage points, with a more negative impact on cities in which CPI is measured and cities that were initially expensive.

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  • Howard, Greg & Liebersohn, Jack & Ozimek, Adam, 2023. "The short- and long-run effects of remote work on U.S. housing markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(1), pages 166-184.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:150:y:2023:i:1:p:166-184
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2023.103705
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    Cited by:

    1. Lina Bjerke & Steven Bond-Smith & Philip McCann & Charlotta Mellander, 2024. "Work-from-home, relocation, and shadow effects: Evidence from Sweden," Working Papers 2024-3, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa.
    2. William D. Larson & Andrew B. Martinez, 2024. "House Prices, Debt Burdens, and the Heterogeneous Effects of Mortgage Rate Shocks," Working Papers 2024-002, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Housing markets; Housing affordability; Labor mobility; Regional inequality;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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