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Observability, dominance, and induction in learning models

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  • Clark, Daniel
  • Fudenberg, Drew
  • He, Kevin

Abstract

Learning models do not in general imply that weakly dominated strategies are irrelevant or justify the related concept of “forward induction,” because rational agents may use dominated strategies as experiments to learn how opponents play, and may not have enough data to rule out a strategy that opponents never use. Learning models also do not support the idea that the selected equilibria should only depend on a game's reduced normal form. However, playing the extensive form of a game is equivalent to playing the normal form augmented with the appropriate terminal node partitions so that two games are information equivalent, i.e., the players receive the same feedback about others' strategies.

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  • Clark, Daniel & Fudenberg, Drew & He, Kevin, 2022. "Observability, dominance, and induction in learning models," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jetheo:v:206:y:2022:i:c:s0022053122001594
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jet.2022.105569
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    1. Fudenberg, Drew & Lanzani, Giacomo & Strack, Philipp, 2023. "Pathwise concentration bounds for Bayesian beliefs," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 18(4), November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Learning in games; Equilibrium refinements; Iterated dominance; Forward induction;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

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