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Production delays and price dynamics

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  • Hommes, Cars
  • Li, Kai
  • Wagener, Florian

Abstract

This paper develops a unified analysis of the impacts of production delays on aggregate price fluctuations in a continuous-time cobweb-type model. We find that the time inconsistency between demand and supply due to production delays inherently generates an overshooting effect in prices. Large production delays give rise to price fluctuations, even with a low intensity of choice. We also provide results consistent with the rational route to randomness of Brock and Hommes (1997) in a continuous-time infinite-dimensional economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Hommes, Cars & Li, Kai & Wagener, Florian, 2022. "Production delays and price dynamics," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 341-362.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:194:y:2022:i:c:p:341-362
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2021.12.033
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    3. Jianru Fu & Ruiyuan Shen & Chao Huang, 2023. "How does price insurance alleviate the fluctuation of agricultural product market? A dynamic analysis based on cobweb model," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 69(5), pages 202-211.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cobweb model; Heterogeneity; Adaptiveness; Production delay; Stability; Chaos;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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