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Common and idiosyncratic movements in Latin-American exchange rates

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  • Gamboa-Estrada, Fredy
  • Romero, José Vicente

Abstract

We propose a simple theoretical and empirical approach to differentiate between common and idiosyncratic exchange rate movements in 5 Latin-American economies: Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru. Our approach allows us to distinguish the effects of a regional exchange rate common factor and macroeconomic fundamentals differentials on exchange rates. The methodology and estimation strategy are suitable for both low- and high-frequency settings. We provide evidence that the regional common factor is important to assess the dynamics of the Latin-American exchange rates. In our estimations, the relation between exchange rates and the common factor is contemporaneous and stable during the studied period.

Suggested Citation

  • Gamboa-Estrada, Fredy & Romero, José Vicente, 2022. "Common and idiosyncratic movements in Latin-American exchange rates," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 174-190.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:inteco:v:171:y:2022:i:c:p:174-190
    DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2022.06.002
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    3. Parra-Polanía, Julián & Sánchez-Jabba, Andrés & Sarmiento, Miguel, 2024. "Are FX communications effective? Evidence from emerging markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).

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    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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