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Forecasting broadband provision

Author

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  • Mack, Elizabeth A.
  • Grubesic, Tony H.

Abstract

The provision of broadband telecommunication services in the United States is spatially heterogeneous. Previous studies find that urban locales typically have a larger selection of access platforms and providers when compared to rural or remote areas. Therefore, the ability to forecast broadband provision is important to understanding regional trends in telecommunications competition and availability. This paper provides a comparative analysis of cross-sectional and spatial econometric forecasts of broadband provision, with results suggesting that the integration of spatially referenced demand-side variables significantly improve the accuracy of short and mid-range forecasts.

Suggested Citation

  • Mack, Elizabeth A. & Grubesic, Tony H., 2009. "Forecasting broadband provision," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 297-311, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:iepoli:v:21:y:2009:i:4:p:297-311
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Tony H. Grubesic & Alan T. Murray, 2002. "Constructing the divide: Spatial disparities in broadband access," Review of Economic Design, Springer;Society for Economic Design, vol. 81(2), pages 197-221, April.
    2. Tony H. Grubesic & Alan T. Murray, 2004. "Waiting for Broadband: Local Competition and the Spatial Distribution of Advanced Telecommunication Services in the United States," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 139-165.
    3. Strover, Sharon, 2001. "Rural internet connectivity," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 331-347, June.
    4. Duffy-Deno, Kevin T, 2003. "Business Demand for Broadband Access Capacity," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 359-372, November.
    5. Tony H. Grubesic, 2003. "Inequities in the broadband revolution," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 37(2), pages 263-289, May.
    6. Donald Grimes & Penelope B. Prime & Mary Beth Walker, 2007. "Change in the Concentration of Employment in Computer Services: Spatial Estimation at the U.S. Metro County Level," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 39-55.
    7. Grubesic, Tony H., 2006. "A spatial taxonomy of broadband regions in the United States," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 423-448, November.
    8. Madden, Gary & Tan, Joachim, 2007. "Forecasting telecommunications data with linear models," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 31-44, February.
    9. Downes, Tom & Greenstein, Shane, 2007. "Understanding why universal service obligations may be unnecessary: The private development of local Internet access markets," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(1), pages 2-26, July.
    10. Todd M. Gabe & Jaison R. Abel, 2002. "Deployment of Advanced Telecommunications Infrastructure in Rural America: Measuring the Digital Divide," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 84(5), pages 1246-1252.
    11. Wood, Lawrence E., 2008. "Rural broadband: The provider matters," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 326-339, June.
    12. Grubesic, Tony H., 2008. "Spatial data constraints: Implications for measuring broadband," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(7), pages 490-502, August.
    13. James E. Prieger, 2003. "The Supply Side of the Digital Divide: Is There Equal Availability in the Broadband Internet Access Market?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 41(2), pages 346-363, April.
    14. Prieger, James E. & Hu, Wei-Min, 2008. "The broadband digital divide and the nexus of race, competition, and quality," Information Economics and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 150-167, June.
    15. Grubesic, Tony H., 2008. "Zip codes and spatial analysis: Problems and prospects," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 129-149, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sánchez Navarro, Dennis, 2012. "Una propuesta metodológica para la definición de mercados geográficos relevantes
      [A proposed methodology for defining relevant geographic markets]
      ," MPRA Paper 44498, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Tony H. Grubesic, 2015. "The Broadband Provision Tensor," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(1), pages 58-80, March.
    3. Meade, Nigel & Islam, Towhidul, 2015. "Forecasting in telecommunications and ICT—A review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1105-1126.

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