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FTX Collapse and systemic risk spillovers from FTX Token to major cryptocurrencies

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  • Bouri, Elie
  • Kamal, Elham
  • Kinateder, Harald

Abstract

We examine the dynamic lower tail dependence and downside risk spillover between the FTX Token and seven major cryptocurrencies using Rotated Gumbel copula and GARCH copula quantile regression-based ∆CoVaR models. Daily data is analyzed from May 1, 2020 to December 31, 2022. The results show a strong evidence of risk spillover effects from FTX Token to crypto markets. Solana, followed by Cardano, displays the largest downside risk spillover. Tether and Bitcoin are affected least by the FTX fallout, receiving the lowest downside risk spillovers. Furthermore, the dynamic risk spillover effects are heterogeneous over time and comparatively different for each cryptocurrency.

Suggested Citation

  • Bouri, Elie & Kamal, Elham & Kinateder, Harald, 2023. "FTX Collapse and systemic risk spillovers from FTX Token to major cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:56:y:2023:i:c:s1544612323004713
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104099
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    8. Babalos, Vassilios & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan, 2025. "Does the introduction of US spot Bitcoin ETFs affect spot returns and volatility of major cryptocurrencies?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    9. Khalid Khan & Adnan Khurshid & Javier Cifuentes-Faura, 2025. "Causal estimation of FTX collapse on cryptocurrency: a counterfactual prediction analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-17, December.
    10. Lin, Xudong & Meng, Yiqun & Zhu, Hao, 2023. "How connected is the crypto market risk to investor sentiment?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    11. Gorman, Michael & Hughen, W. Keener, 2024. "Does bitcoin still enhance an investment portfolio in a post Covid-19 world?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PB).
    12. Aibai, Abuduwali & Julaiti, Jiansuer & Gou, Shangde, 2024. "The asymmetric effects of upside and downside risks in cryptocurrency markets: Insights from the LUNA and FTX crises," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    13. Sakariyahu, Rilwan & Lawal, Rodiat & Adigun, Rasheed & Paterson, Audrey & Johan, Sofia, 2024. "One crash, too many: Global uncertainty, sentiment factors and cryptocurrency market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    14. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Mehrad Asadi & Mohammad Abdullah & Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Rubaiyat Ahsan Bhuiyan, 2026. "Sports tokens and sports equities: A downside tail risk analysis with portfolio implications," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 1-30, December.
    15. Poddar, Abhishek & Misra, Arun Kumar & Mishra, Ajay Kumar, 2023. "Return connectedness and volatility dynamics of the cryptocurrency network," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    16. Magner, Nicolás & Sanhueza, Aliro, 2025. "The Moby Dick effect: Contagious Bitcoin whales in the crypto market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
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    JEL classification:

    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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